Podcast – Kappel’s Train: UCL, Europa & Conference Multi & Best Bets

In his second appearance on the Bet Central Podcast, David Kappel, who is a well-known punter in South Africa’s betting Twitter ecosystem provides us with a 12-leg multi from the Uefa Champions League, Europa League and Europa Conference League this week.

Europe’s three elite club competitions usually promise two things: goals and favourites to win., and David has come prepared as we build a 12-leg multi with every match from UEFA’s three cups this week, cut and slice the slip as you wish to use at 23.72 odds. You can read or listen to his best bets.

Real Madrid v Chelsea: Over 1.5 goals, 1.23 odds

It will be an open game, Chelsea need to attack, which suits Real. 6 of Chelsea’s last 7 UCL games had over 1.5 goals. 7 of Real’s last 8 UCL games had over 1.5 goals.

Bet Now: Over 1.5 goals

Bayern v Villarreal: Robert Lewandowski to score, 1.33 odds

Bayern need to attack. They have scored 20 goals in their 4 UCL home games this season, with Lewandowski scoring 8 of them. Yes, they are stuttering a bit of late but Lewandowski has scoredc 46 goals in 40 games in all competitions. Bayern last failed to score at home in the UCL in April 2018.

Suggested Bet: Robert Lewandowski to score

Atletico v Man City: Man City win/draw, 1.22 odds

Atletico have only won 5 of their last 18 games in the Champions League and they are winless in their last 7 home match in the UCL – their last home win was in October 2020. City have just 1 defeat in 23 games in all competitions. They have the first-leg lead and might punish Atletico on the counter.

Suggested Bet: Man City win/draw

Liverpool v Benfica: Liverpool to win, 1.28 odds

Liverpool have lost just 1 of their last 19 games, winning 17. They almost played the perfect campaign apart from the 1-0 home defeat vs Inter, winning 8 of their 9 games. Benfica have just won 3 of their last 10 UCL games. In their last 15 games, Benfica only kept 2 clean sheets.

Suggested Bet: Liverpool to win

EUROPA LEAGUE

Atalanta v Leipzig: Leipzig to score, 1.25 odds

Atalanta are winless in 3 games, conceding 6 goals. In the Champions League group stages, Atalanta conceded 5 goals in 3 home games and 13 in 6 matches overall. Leipzig have lost just 1 of their last 17 games in all competitions and won their last 6 away games.

Suggested Bet: Leipzig to score

Barcelona v Frankfurt: Barca win/draw & over 1.5 goals, 1.35 odds

Barcelona are unbeaten in 15 games, 12 of those had over 1.5 goals and they’ve won 11 of them. Frankfurt are without a win in 5 games but are playing a heroic European campaign. They are unbeaten in their 9 games, but have drawn 5 of them.

Suggested Bet: Barca win/draw & over 1.5 goals

Lyon vs West Ham: Under 3.5 goals, 1.32 odds

Lyon have won just 3 of their last 10 games, at home, they have 4 wins in their last 11. They were somewhat free-scoring in the group stage, netting 14 in 6 games, but have scored just 1 in their 4 knockout games. West Ham have just 4 wins in 12 games, only 2 of their 9 Europa League games had over 2.5 goals

Suggested Bet: Under 3.5 goals

Rangers vs Braga: Over 1.5 goals, 1.34 odds

Rangers have lost 3 of their last 5 games, but at home they’ve won 10 of their last 13 matches. Braga have picked up 4 successive wins, but in Europe they’ve lost 6 of their last 10 games, conceding 21 goals. Both teams met in 2020/21 when Rangers win 1-0 away from home and 3-2 at home.

Suggested Bet: Over 1.5 goals

CONFERENCE LEAGUE

Roma v Glimt: Roma win/draw & over 1.5 goals, 1.30 odds

Roma have lost just 1 of their last 11 games – first leg in Glimt. In 3 games this season, they couldn’t beat Glimt, losing 2-1, 6-1 and 2-2, BUT they look more and more like a Mourinho team. They have scored 15 in 5 Conference League home games. Glimt are unbeaten in 38 games – they have scored in 36 of those.

Suggested Bet: Roma win/draw & over 1.5 goals

Slavia v Feyenoord: over 2.5 goals, 1.64 odds

Two free-scoring teams. Slavia have lost just 2 of their last 29 home games. The 5 Conference League games in 2022 have produced 25 goals (5 on average). Feyenoord have just 2 wins in their last 5 games. Their last 8 Conference League games produced 35 goals (4.37 on average). Slavia’s last 7 Conference Laguna games had BTTS & over 2.5, Feyenoord’s last 8 too.

Suggested Bet: Over 2.5 goals

PAOK v Marseille: Win/draw Marseille, 1.33 odds

PAOK have lost their last 2 games, before that they had 1 defeat in 24 matches. They are, though, unbeaten at home in 14 games. Marseille are on a 7-match winning streak, 6 of those had BTTS and over 2.5 goals. In the Conference League, Marseille have won their 5 games, all of them had over 2.5 goals.

Suggested Bet: Win/draw Marseille

PSV vs Leicester: Over 1.5 goals, 1.25 odds

PSV are unbeaten in 15 games, winning 11. At home, they have 6 wins and 1 draw in their last 7 games – they have scored 22 goals in those matches. 6 of PSV’s 7 homes games in the Conference League had over 2.5 goals. Leicester have 2 wins in their last 6 games. 9 of their 11 European games had over 1.5 goals, but first leg 0-0.

Suggested Bet: Over 1.5 goals

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