In his second appearance on the Bet Central Podcast, David Kappel, who is a well-known punter in South Africa’s betting Twitter ecosystem provides us with a 12-leg multi from the Uefa Champions League, Europa League and Europa Conference League this week.
Europe’s three elite club competitions usually promise two things: goals and favourites to win., and David has come prepared as we build a 12-leg multi with every match from UEFA’s three cups this week, cut and slice the slip as you wish to use at 23.72 odds. You can read or listen to his best bets.
Real Madrid v Chelsea: Over 1.5 goals, 1.23 odds
It will be an open game, Chelsea need to attack, which suits Real. 6 of Chelsea’s last 7 UCL games had over 1.5 goals. 7 of Real’s last 8 UCL games had over 1.5 goals.
Bayern v Villarreal: Robert Lewandowski to score, 1.33 odds
Bayern need to attack. They have scored 20 goals in their 4 UCL home games this season, with Lewandowski scoring 8 of them. Yes, they are stuttering a bit of late but Lewandowski has scoredc 46 goals in 40 games in all competitions. Bayern last failed to score at home in the UCL in April 2018.
Atletico v Man City: Man City win/draw, 1.22 odds
Atletico have only won 5 of their last 18 games in the Champions League and they are winless in their last 7 home match in the UCL – their last home win was in October 2020. City have just 1 defeat in 23 games in all competitions. They have the first-leg lead and might punish Atletico on the counter.
Liverpool v Benfica: Liverpool to win, 1.28 odds
Liverpool have lost just 1 of their last 19 games, winning 17. They almost played the perfect campaign apart from the 1-0 home defeat vs Inter, winning 8 of their 9 games. Benfica have just won 3 of their last 10 UCL games. In their last 15 games, Benfica only kept 2 clean sheets.
Atalanta v Leipzig: Leipzig to score, 1.25 odds
Atalanta are winless in 3 games, conceding 6 goals. In the Champions League group stages, Atalanta conceded 5 goals in 3 home games and 13 in 6 matches overall. Leipzig have lost just 1 of their last 17 games in all competitions and won their last 6 away games.
Barcelona v Frankfurt: Barca win/draw & over 1.5 goals, 1.35 odds
Barcelona are unbeaten in 15 games, 12 of those had over 1.5 goals and they’ve won 11 of them. Frankfurt are without a win in 5 games but are playing a heroic European campaign. They are unbeaten in their 9 games, but have drawn 5 of them.
Lyon vs West Ham: Under 3.5 goals, 1.32 odds
Lyon have won just 3 of their last 10 games, at home, they have 4 wins in their last 11. They were somewhat free-scoring in the group stage, netting 14 in 6 games, but have scored just 1 in their 4 knockout games. West Ham have just 4 wins in 12 games, only 2 of their 9 Europa League games had over 2.5 goals
Rangers vs Braga: Over 1.5 goals, 1.34 odds
Rangers have lost 3 of their last 5 games, but at home they’ve won 10 of their last 13 matches. Braga have picked up 4 successive wins, but in Europe they’ve lost 6 of their last 10 games, conceding 21 goals. Both teams met in 2020/21 when Rangers win 1-0 away from home and 3-2 at home.
Roma v Glimt: Roma win/draw & over 1.5 goals, 1.30 odds
Roma have lost just 1 of their last 11 games – first leg in Glimt. In 3 games this season, they couldn’t beat Glimt, losing 2-1, 6-1 and 2-2, BUT they look more and more like a Mourinho team. They have scored 15 in 5 Conference League home games. Glimt are unbeaten in 38 games – they have scored in 36 of those.
Slavia v Feyenoord: over 2.5 goals, 1.64 odds
Two free-scoring teams. Slavia have lost just 2 of their last 29 home games. The 5 Conference League games in 2022 have produced 25 goals (5 on average). Feyenoord have just 2 wins in their last 5 games. Their last 8 Conference League games produced 35 goals (4.37 on average). Slavia’s last 7 Conference Laguna games had BTTS & over 2.5, Feyenoord’s last 8 too.
PAOK v Marseille: Win/draw Marseille, 1.33 odds
PAOK have lost their last 2 games, before that they had 1 defeat in 24 matches. They are, though, unbeaten at home in 14 games. Marseille are on a 7-match winning streak, 6 of those had BTTS and over 2.5 goals. In the Conference League, Marseille have won their 5 games, all of them had over 2.5 goals.
PSV vs Leicester: Over 1.5 goals, 1.25 odds
PSV are unbeaten in 15 games, winning 11. At home, they have 6 wins and 1 draw in their last 7 games – they have scored 22 goals in those matches. 6 of PSV’s 7 homes games in the Conference League had over 2.5 goals. Leicester have 2 wins in their last 6 games. 9 of their 11 European games had over 1.5 goals, but first leg 0-0.