Tottenham v Aston Villa – Preview, Predictions and Best Bets

Tottenham hosts Aston Villa in the English Premier League on Sunday. Spurs have lost two of their last three league matches but defeated Manchester City in the Carabao Cup in midweek. Meanwhile, Villa saw their 11-match unbeaten streak come to an end in the League Cup.

Spurs Form

Tottenham has won eight of their last ten matches. A stellar 3-0 victory at Manchester United (creating 4.59 xG and nine big chances) was followed by a 2-1 win at Ferencvaros, marking five straight wins. However, they let a 2-0 lead slip to lose 3-2 at Brighton.

Spurs bounced back with a 4-1 win over West Ham, scoring four goals in a 25-minute surge, and a 1-0 win against AZ Alkmaar in the Europa League. A 1-0 loss at Crystal Palace last weekend saw them create only 0.74 xG despite 66% possession. In midweek, they secured a 2-1 win over Manchester City in the League Cup as City rested several key players.

Spurs Team News

Heung-Min Son and Djed Spence are expected to be available. Timo Werner should recover from a minor knock to make the squad.

Micky van de Ven is likely to miss out after sustaining a hamstring injury midweek. Cristian Romero should be available despite being substituted against Manchester City. Winger Wilson Odobert remains sidelined.

Spurs Motivation

Manager Ange Postecoglou will feel confident after Tottenham’s 4-0 win over Villa last season. With a top-four position at stake, Spurs will likely take an attacking approach, utilizing two number tens behind their front three.

Aston Villa Form

Villa’s 11-match unbeaten streak was snapped midweek. They had previously won six straight games, then drew 2-2 with Ipswich. A solid 1-0 victory over Bayern Munich followed, despite being outshot 17-5.

After a 0-0 draw against Manchester United, Villa won 3-1 at Fulham and easily handled Bologna 2-0 in the Champions League, achieving three wins from three in Europe. This past week was challenging, with a 96th-minute goal conceded in a 1-1 home draw with Bournemouth, followed by a 2-1 home loss to Crystal Palace’s full-strength side in the Carabao Cup.

Aston Villa Team News

Unai Emery has a fully fit squad available. Tyrone Mings and Boubacar Kamara returned from knee surgery earlier this week, while Emi Buendia also started. Lucas Digne, Ollie Watkins, Amadou Onana, and Pau Torres all rested midweek and will return for this game.

Aston Villa Motivation

Villa will aim to win against Spurs, mindful of their 4-0 loss to this opposition in March. Emery’s side is flexible in its approach but may opt for a more defensive, counter-attacking setup to manage Tottenham’s pacey attack.

Key Stats

Tottenham have won 8 of their last 10 matches (scoring 22 goals).

Tottenham’s Brennan Johnson has scored 6 goals in his last 10 matches.

Tottenham have lost their last 2 home matches against Aston Villa.

Aston Villa have lost only 1 of their last 12 matches (winning 8).

Aston Villa have conceded 23 goals in their last 16 matches.

Aston Villa’s Ollie Watkins has scored 5 goals in his last 9 matches.

Verdict

This match is challenging to predict regarding both the outcome and goal count. Villa’s recent record at Spurs and their fresher legs give them a chance to win or avoid defeat.

Best Bet: Aston Villa win/draw double chance at 1.90

Value Bet: Aston Villa win at 3.45

Anytime Goalscorers Market: Brennan Johnson at 2.80 or Ollie Watkins at 2.90