Spain v Denmark – Preview, Predictions and Best Bets

Spain faces Denmark in the UEFA Nations League on Saturday. The European Champions drew 0-0 with Serbia and defeated Switzerland 4-1 in their last two matches. Denmark, meanwhile, secured 2-0 victories over both Switzerland and Serbia. Spain has won six of the last seven encounters between these nations.

Spain Form

Spain is in excellent form. They won the last Nations League and followed that up by winning the European Championship earlier this year. They beat Croatia 3-0, followed by 1-0 victories over Italy and Albania. In the Round of 16, they overcame Georgia 4-1 before defeating Germany 2-1 in extra time in the quarter-finals.

A 2-1 win over France in the semi-finals was followed by an 86th-minute winner to beat England 2-1 in the final. In their opening Nations League match, Spain dominated with 74% possession and 21 shots but had to settle for a frustrating 0-0 draw in Serbia. In their most recent match, they secured an impressive 4-1 win away to Switzerland, despite playing 70 minutes with ten men.

Spain Team News

Dani Carvajal and Rodri are unavailable due to injury. Mikel Merino returns to the squad after recovering from a shoulder injury. Fermin Lopez, Dani Olmo, and Gavi are also out due to injuries in midfield.

Ferran Torres, Nico Williams, and Bryan Gil were selected but had to withdraw. Ayoze Perez has been dropped, while Sergio Gomez could make his debut, and Bryan Zaragoza is included in the squad.

Spain Motivation

Spain has been beaten just once in their last 21 matches, and their confidence is sky-high. Despite the squad absences, they will expect to beat Denmark in Murcia.

Denmark Form

Denmark entered Euro 2024 on a fine run of form, with just one loss in 12 games. They drew all three of their group matches at the tournament, with a 1-1 draw against Slovenia, followed by a strong performance in another 1-1 draw against England. A 0-0 stalemate with Serbia completed their group stage.

In the Round of 16, Denmark was beaten 2-0 by Germany amid VAR controversy. Since then, they have won both of their Nations League matches, starting with a 2-0 home victory over ten-man Switzerland, followed by a 2-0 home win against Serbia.

Denmark Team News

Denmark has suffered several injuries. Notable absentees include Brentford midfielders Christian Nørgaard and Mikkel Damsgaard, as well as Fulham center-back Joachim Andersen.

Andreas Christensen remains injured, while Bournemouth’s Philip Billing has not been selected. Rasmus Højlund is back in the squad after missing September’s matches due to injury.

Denmark Motivation

Denmark coach Lars Knudsen typically uses a formation with three center-backs and wing-backs, allowing his team to absorb pressure well. For this match, Denmark would be happy with a draw and will likely aim to be tough to break down.

Key Stats

Spain has lost just once in their last 21 matches.

Spain has won six of their last seven matches against Denmark.

Denmark has lost just one of their last 18 matches.

Denmark has lost two of their last four away Nations League matches.

Verdict

Spain is in top form, but they are missing some key players like Rodri and Williams. Denmark could make it a close match, but La Roja should secure the three points.

Best Bet: Under 2.5 goals at 2.00

Alternate Bet: Spain to win to nil at 2.25

Correct Score Tip: Spain 1-0 Denmark at 6.50