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Italian Serie A Football

Lazio v Juventus – Preview, Predictions and Best Bets

Lazio host Juventus in Serie A on Saturday evening. Biancocelesti sits ninth in the table, some 11 points off the top four.

Lazio v Juventus

Lazio host Juventus in Serie A on Saturday evening. Biancocelesti sits ninth in the table, some 11 points off the top four. The Old Lady sits third with an eight-point buffer in the race for a Champions League place.

Lazio Form

Lazio’s last 12 matches have seen seven losses across all competitions. A 1-0 home win over Bayern Munich offered a chance to save their season but a 2-1 defeat at top-four rivals Bologna followed. After beating Torino 2-0 away, they lost 2-1 at Fiorentina.

A 1-0 home loss to AC Milan saw Lazio finish with eight players before a resounding 3-0 defeat away to Bayern Munich. After losing 2-1 at home to Udinese, Maurizio Sarri resigned as head coach. With Giovanni Martusciello in charge, they went to Frosinone and won 3-2 with 3.21 xG produced.

Lazio Team News

Christos Mandas is pushing for just his fourth appearance of the season in goal. Ivan Provedel is a doubt with a hamstring strain and the number one ‘keeper will need a late fitness test. Central midfielder Nicolo Rovella remains doubtful with a groin injury after eight weeks on the treatment table so far.

Central defender Patric hasn’t played since early February, but he is nearing a return. Striker Valentin Castellanos netted a brace from the bench in the last match and is pushing Ciro Immobile for his starting place.

Lazio Motivation

Lazio can still qualify for the Europa League if they can string together some wins.

They will play for the three points in this match and try to rebuild their confidence.

Juventus Form

Juve looked like title contenders not long ago, losing just one of their first 21 Serie A fixtures. After a run of seven straight victories in all competitions, things have unravelled somewhat from February onwards. After losing 1-0 at Inter Milan, they were beaten 1-0 at home by Udinese.

A 2-2 draw at Verona preceded a 3-2 home victory over Frosinone. An 88th-minute goal led to a 2-1 defeat at Napoli before successive draws in Serie A. They threw away a lead to draw 2-2 at home to Atalanta and could only draw 0-0 at home to Genoa last time out. From 66% possession, they only put up 1.03 xG.

Juventus Team News

Juve are without Nicolo Fagioli and Paul Pogba in midfield due to bans. Striker Dusan Vlahovic missed this match due to suspension and Carlos Alcaraz is a major doubt due to a hamstring complaint.

Arkadiusz Milik has a muscle injury and could further reduce coach Max Allegri’s firepower. Moise Kean and youngster Kenan Yildiz are options to play in the front two alongside Federico Chiesa.

Juventus Motivation

Juventus would probably take a draw here, to try to keep a gap to Roma in fifth spot. Right now, finishing in the Champions League places is the goal.

Allegri won’t play an open game and will defend in a 5-3-2 shape to make life awkward for Lazio.

Key Stats

Lazio have lost their last 3 home matches (1 loss in 16 at home before that)

Lazio have lost 7 of their last 12 matches.

Lazio have scored 1 or fewer goals in 10 of their last 14 matches.

Juventus have won just 1 of their last 9 matches.

Juventus have kept just 1 clean sheet in their last 8 fixtures.

Verdict

This match sees two struggling teams face off. It makes the result difficult to predict and both sides may be satisfied with a draw. A 1-1 correct score bet looks like a smart tip.

Best Bet: Draw at 3.00
Alternate Bet: Juventus win/draw double chance + Under 3.5 goals at 1.76
Correct Score Tip: 1-1 Draw at 5.50

James is a football analyst who writes about the tactics of the PSL and English Premier League. He holds the UEFA A coaching licence and has previously worked for several clubs in analysis roles.Twitter: https://twitter.com/footy_analysis

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