Stellies (2nd), Sekhukhune (3rd) Chiefs (5th) and AmaZulu (8th) are all on the road this weekend. They will each be looking for three points that could help separate them from a crowded mid-table pack – only five points separate 2nd and 8th on the table. We ran through the numbers to bring you a betting guide.
DSTV Premiership is back, OptaJabu combs through the numbers and we come up with the best bets for your multis and bet slips as well as providing value bets.
Sundowns v Sekhukhune
20 hours of football later, Sundowns’ defence was finally breached. This weekend they face another tricky test as they host newly promoted Sekhukhune, who are charging towards their own set of records. In the last week, Downs have fired blanks against Cape Town City, and then allowed Supersport to come from 2-0 down to draw 2-2 during the week. To consider two draws a bit of a downturn says more about how exceptional the side has been. You can’t really win every game, however.
1 – Sundowns have lost just one of their last twenty games at home to newly promoted sides, drawing six and winning the other 13.
This one won’t be easy, as they take on the league’s second-best defence. Only one team has scored Over 1.5 goals against Sekhukhune in a league game this season. Even then, one of Pirates’ two goals in the 2-1 defeat was a penalty.
Suggested Bet: Sundowns to win
Value Bet: Sundowns to win to nil
TS Galaxy v CT City
Two wins in three games has taken TS Galaxy out of the relegation zone, but only just. Good things start to happen if you score. The Rockets have scored four in their last three matches, as many as they managed in their first 8 matches of the season. That scoring run may continue, given that City have only one clean sheet in five away games under Eric Tinkler. Not only that, City are struggling away from home.
1 – City have played five away league games since Tinkler returned to the club, winning just once and failing to score in four of those.
Suggested Bet: TS Galaxy win/draw
Royal AM v Stellenbosch
Royal AM’s league form has been a bit of a worry of late. They won four on the trot in September/October, becoming only the second team to win four in a row this season after Sundowns. One win in five since has tampered expectations a little bit, but it’s important to note they’ve also lost just one in five. They host a Stellies side reeling from a 3-0 humbling at the hands of Pirates. While Downs (19) have usurped Royal AM (18) as top scorers in the league, scoring has not been the problem.
1 – Royal AM have kept just one clean sheet this season, the fewest of all sides.
Also, Bloem Celtic never lost to Stellies (W2 D2), with all four matches seeing Over 1.5 goals combined and both sides finding the net in every game.
Suggested Bet: Royal AM win/draw
Swallows v Kaizer Chiefs
It’s been a tough season for Swallows, with issues both on and off the pitch. Only two goals to show for in almost 1000 minutes of action says a lot. Indeed, Swallows have failed to score in 12 of their last 15 matches in the league. They only failed to score twice in their first 26 games since promotion. Something is amiss. They get another chance to find the net as they host Chiefs this weekend, who themselves are on a 2 game winning run on the road.
2 – Chiefs have won successive away games. They have not won three in a row away from home since Ernst Middendorp was in charge at the club.
0 – Ernst Middendorp is winless against Stuart Baxter Baxter in seven matches, losing each of his last 5.
Suggested Bet: Kaizer Chiefs to win
Value Bet: Chiefs to keep clean sheet