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Premier League Stat Pack – Gameweek 35

The Premier League title is decided but with four matches to go there are so many other prizes up for grabs such as European spots and survival.

10 July 2020, by Carl Lewis

Premier League Stat Pack – Gameweek 35

Saturday 11 July

13:30 – Norwich v West Ham

Norwich are 10 points off safety with 12 points left to play for so relegation is almost certain for them. the Canaries have failed to score in their last 3 at home and have lost 6 in a row overall.

West Ham missed the chance to ease their relegation fears in midweek with a 1-0 home loss to Burnley. West Ham are winless in their last 8 away matches and lost 7 in a row before their 2-2 draw at Newcastle last weekend. Good news, West Ham have scored at least 2 goals in their last 3 matches against Norwich in all competitions.

Best Bet: West Ham win at 2.00

13:30 – Watford v Newcastle

Watford eased their relegation fears with a 2-1 win over bottom side Norwich in midweek. They are now above the relegation zone and know another win here will push them in a great position to avoid the drop. There have been over 2.5 goals scored in Watford’s last 3 games.

Newcastle head into the clash licking their wounds after a heavy 5-0 loss against Manchester City. With Newcastle now safe from the drop, the motivation or lack thereof could work for Watford or it could allow the players a chance to ‘express’ themselves. Furthermore, the Magpies have lost 3 of their last 4 matches at Vicarage Road. There has also been over 2.5 goals scored in Newcastle’s last 3 games.

Best Bet: Over 2.5 goals at 2.05

16:00 – Liverpool v Burnley

Another win in the last gameweek guided Liverpool to 30 wins for the season (D2, L2), and they are still on the hunt for five different PL records which includes; most points, most wins, the most home wins, away wins, and biggest win margin (in points). Their perfect league record at home remains unimpaired and Klopp’s men have scored 2+ goals in 7 straight league matches here.

4 of Liverpool’s last 5 matches at Anfield have witnessed over 2.5 goals while through the league season matches here have seen a 3.41 total goals average. Despite their total dominance, a clear majority of their home league games have seen both teams score (58.82%) – as have 3 consecutive head to heads against Burnley at Anfield.

Despite recent uncertainty off the field, Burnley are having a decent run (W3, D1) which has them hunting a Europa League place which they are 2 points off. Hard to break down, they’ve kept an impressive 7 clean sheets across their last 11 matches (W6, D4, L1).

Best Bet: Liverpool to win to zero at 1.90

18:30 – Sheffield United v Chelsea

Sheffield United are back to pre-lockdown form after no losses in 3 matches (W2, D1) and they’ve scored at least once after the 75th minute in all 3 of those matches. The Blades still have one of the bluntest attacks it ranks as the joint-fifth worst in the league, averaging just 1.03 goals per game. Sheffield are unbeaten at Bramall Lane in their last 5 home league matches there (W4, D1). 

Chelsea have lost just 1 of their previous 8 matches (W6, D1, L1). They scored 2+ goals in each one of those matches. Frank Lampard’s side also found the back of the net before HT in 7 of those matches. Chelsea have won just 1 of their previous 3 visits to Bramall Lane (W1, L2). However, they do possess the second-best away record (W9, D3, L5) and have found the back of the net in 88% of their away matches.

Best Bet: Chelsea to win 1st half at 2.10

21:00 – Brighton v Manchetser City

Inconsistent since restart (W2, D1, L2), Brighton are mid-table and very reliant on early goals. 6 (75%) of their 8 league wins this season have come after opening the scoring in the first half. Brighton have just 1 win from their last 7 home matches (W1, D3, L3). Their 3 most recent home matches saw over 2.5 goals.

Manchester City have all but locked in second place but struggling for motivation was not an issue when crushing Newcastle 5-0 in the last game week. The match confirmed their status as the highest-scoring side in the league (2.53 goals on average per match) and it was the 17th time this PL season they were involved in a match featuring at least 4 goals.

Away from home, however, City have lost 4 of their last 5 league matches, and just 1 of their last 6 has featured at least three goals. 

Best Bet: Manchester City to win to zero at 2.05

Monday 13 July

21:00 – Manchester United v Southampton

Manchester United became the first team in history to win 4 consecutive Premier League matches by a margin of at least 3 goals. They were winning at HT despite a -1 handicap in all 4 of those matches, and enter this clash on a 10-game unbeaten league run (W7, D3). United could be third on the league table by the end of the evening.

Southampton have lost just 1 of their 5 matches since restart (W3, D1, L1) after scoring the first goal in 4. They’ve now gone unbeaten in 14 of the 17 matches this term in which they scored first (W11, D3, L3), but the last 5 league matches that they conceded the opener, they lost. The Saints have won 6 of their last 9 away matches (W6, D1, L2).

Best Bet: Manchester United to win and over 2.5 goals at 1.74


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