Newcastle v Arsenal: Preview and Betting Tips | EFL Cup 2025

Match: Newcastle v Arsenal
When: Wednesday, 05 Feb 2025, 22:00 SAST
Where: St James’ Park

The Magpies won the first leg 2-0 and have a chance to reach a cup final. Mikel Arteta’s side have scored 23 goals in their last eight away matches.

Newcastle Form

Newcastle have won 10 of their last 12 matches in all competitions. A 2-0 victory at Old Trafford vs Man Utd and a 2-1 win at Tottenham made it six straight wins. The Toon went to Arsenal and won 2-0 in the Carabao Cup semi-final first leg despite allowing 23 shots and 3.22 xG.

After two more wins, including 3-0 vs Wolves, Newcastle were thrashed 4-1 at home by Bournemouth. They bounced back to win 3-1 at Southampton before a loss on Saturday. Fulham scored two second-half goals to win 2-1 at St. James’ Park.

Newcastle Team News

Lloyd Kelly has departed the club and Jamaal Lascelles is still injured in defence. Sven Botman may again be left on the bench.

Callum Wilson is nearing a return to boost forward option. Joelinton is carrying a knee injury but is expected to be fit to start.

Newcastle Motivation

The Magpies are looking to end a long wait for silverware. This match is top priority for the players.

Any result to get them into the final will be acceptable. They will play to protect their lead from the first leg and look to use fast transitions.

Arsenal Form

Arsenal lost 2-0 to Newcastle in the first leg before being knocked out of the FA Cup on penalties to Man Utd after facing ten men for an hour. A 2-1 win over Tottenham was followed by a disappointing 2-2 draw vs Aston Vill having led 2-0.

Four straight wins have followed. They breeze past Dinamo Zagreb 3-0 in the Champions League and won 1-0 at Wolves. A 2-1 win at Girona preceded a superb 5-1 home victory over Man City as they won the second half 4-0 as they netted five goals from just 12 shots.

Arsenal Team News

Takehiro Tomiyasu and Ben White are still injured in defence. Gabriel Jesus and Bukayo Saka will play no part in the attack as they nurse long-term injuries.

Mikel Arteta is set to play his best XI to try to turn this tie around. If there is any rotation, then Ethan Nwaneri or Mikel Merino are most likely to come into the XI.

Arsenal Motivation

The Gunners will want to turn this tie around and reach the final. However, this tournament is their lowest priority.

Arteta’s side will attack and they will want to avoid going to extra time.

Key Stats

Newcastle have failed to score in 9 of their last 14 matches vs Arsenal.

Newcastle have won 10 of their last 12 matches in all competitions

Newcastle’s Alexander Isak has scored 14 goals in his last 13 matches

Arsenal have won just 2 of their last 7 matches vs Newcastle (4 defeats)

Arsenal have scored 23 goals in their last 8 away matches

Verdict

This match is very difficult to call. Newcastle should reach the final but Arsenal could win this second leg or at least avoid defeat.

Best Bet: Arsenal win at 1.87
Value Bet: Arsenal to win by exactly 1 goal at 3.65
Goalscorer Tip: Alexander Isak score anytime at 2.35