Marseille v PSG – Preview, Predictions, And Best Bets

Marseille host PSG in Ligue 1 on Sunday. The Parisians have won six of the last seven meetings between these teams. OM coach Roberto De Zerbi has adopted an attacking style, with his side netting 21 goals in eight matches since his arrival.

Marseille Form

Marseille currently sit third in Ligue 1 after eight rounds. Since De Zerbi’s appointment, they’ve won five, drawn two, and lost one. Their recent run includes a 2-0 home win over Nice and a 3-2 victory at Lyon, marking three consecutive wins.

A disappointing 1-0 loss at Strasbourg followed, where they created just 0.50 xG from 59% possession while allowing four big chances. Further points were dropped in a 1-1 draw at home against Angers, despite both teams playing with 10 men. Marseille rebounded with a commanding 5-0 win over Montpellier last Sunday, producing 3.36 xG.

Marseille Team News

Neil Maupay returns from suspension, having missed the last match. Attacking midfielder Valentin Carboni is out with a long-term knee injury, as is midfielder Bilal Nadir.

Striker Faris Moumbagna is doubtful with a knee injury, while left-back Quentin Merlin is nearing a return from a hamstring issue. Mason Greenwood has been a standout player with six goals in eight matches, coming from just 2.51 xG.

Marseille Motivation

This match is steeped in rivalry between the two cities. De Zerbi’s side will look to play their usual attacking style and push for a win.

However, given Marseille’s recent struggles against PSG, a draw would not be a bad result.

PSG Form

PSG have had a strong start this season, with six wins in seven matches across all competitions. They won their first four Ligue 1 games, scoring 16 goals. A late goal was needed to secure a 1-0 Champions League win at home over Girona after 26 shots.

After a surprise 1-1 draw at Reims, they bounced back with a 3-1 win against Rennes, generating 3.05 xG. A 2-0 loss at Arsenal was followed by another 1-1 draw at Nice. Their recent 4-2 home win over Strasbourg saw them produce 3.49 xG, but they could only manage a 1-1 home draw against PSV in midweek despite outshooting the Dutch side 26-8.

PSG Team News

PSG are still without Goncalo Ramos up front due to an ankle injury, while defender Lucas Hernandez remains sidelined with a cruciate ligament injury. Presnel Kimpembe is also out in defence.

Marco Asensio is expected to be recalled as a false nine, likely replacing Kang-In Lee. Vitinha could also be given a start in midfield, with Warren Zaire-Emery most likely to drop out.

PSG Motivation

This fixture is highly anticipated, and PSG will be determined to win. However, with recent Champions League commitments, they may be somewhat fatigued.

Key Stats

Marseille have lost just 1 of their last 9 Ligue 1 games (6 wins).

Marseille’s last 20 home Ligue 1 matches include just 1 defeat (2-0 to PSG in March).

OM’s Mason Greenwood has scored 6 league goals this season.

PSG have won 6 of their last 7 matches against Marseille.

PSG have only 1 win in their last 4 games (LDWD).

PSG have gone 6 matches without a clean sheet.

Verdict

Both teams have shown defensive vulnerabilities, so we can expect goals in this match. PSG typically come out on top in this fixture and should be favored to take the three points in Marseille.

Best Bet: PSG win at 1.90
Value Bet: PSG win and both teams to score at 3.25
Goalscorer Tip: Mason Greenwood to score anytime at 2.90