Luton Town v Man Utd – Preview, Predictions, and Best Bets

Luton host Man Utd at Kenilworth Road on Sunday. The Red Devils have scored 21 goals in their last eight matches. The Hatters have lost seven of their 12 home matches this season. The reverse fixture finished 1-0 to United at Old Trafford.

Luton Town Form

Luton have lost just two of their last ten matches, showing their improved belief and form since settling into the top-flight. There was a key 1-0 home win over Newcastle and then a 3-2 win at Sheffield United to start that streak. They progressed in the FA Cup, winning 2-1 at both Bolton and Everton.

A fantastic and totally deserved 4-0 win followed against Brighton as they put up 3.21 xG and only allowed 0.94 xG. A 4-4 draw at St. James’ Park vs Newcastle saw them create four ‘big chances’ and 2.36 xG. Their last match brought a shock 3-1 home loss to Sheffield United despite outshooting their opponents 20-7.

Luton Town Team News

Rob Edwards remains without captain Tom Lockyer after his cardiac arrest. Newly signed Japanese right back Daiki Hashioka will be eased into action.

Mads Andersen is injured at the back and Marvelous Nakamba will play no part in the engine room. Issa Kabore is available at right wingback, but Chiedozie Ogbene is set to be preferred. Tanith Chong and Andros Townsend are pushing for starting berths.

Luton Town Motivation

The Hatters will sit behind the ball and not care about possession in this match. A draw would be a massive result for the club.

They will look for fast counters through Ogbene and Adebayo. Set plays are also a strength of theirs to exploit.

Man Utd Form

United look to finally be coming out of their slumber. Their win at Villa Park made it five wins and a draw in the last six even if their last 28 fixtures have only yielded 13 victories. After a poor 2-1 loss at Nottingham Forest, they won 2-0 at Wigan in an FA Cup tie. A 2-2 home league draw vs Tottenham followed.

After a 4-2 Cup win at Newport Town, United scored a late stunner to win 4-3 at Wolves. They then beat West Ham 3-0 at home despite just 0.75 Expected Goals produced. Their last match brought a great 2-1 win at Villa Park against Aston Villa. Scott McTominay netted an 86th-minute winner from the bench.

Man Utd Team News

Erik Ten Hag is without Lisandro Martinez due to a knee injury. Luke Shaw is doubtful at left-back but should be able to start. Mason Mount and Aaron Wan-Bissaka are set to return to the squad.

Anthony Martial and Tyrell Malacia are not available due to injuries. Scott McTominay may again be left on the bench with the midfield trio looking settled and balanced.

Man Utd Motivation

United’s win at Aston Villa has them back in the top-four race. Anything but a win here would be seen as a poor result.

They are playing pragmatically and won’t care about style. They will look to grind out the three points.

Key Stats

Luton have lost just 2 of their last 10 matches

Luton have lost 7 of their 12 home EPL matches this term

Man Utd have scored 2+ goals in 7 of their last 8 matches (21 scored in total)

Man Utd have won their last 3 EPL matches

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in Manchester United’s last 6 EPL fixtures.

Verdict

United could have a tough time in this match. However, they’re grinding out wins regularly and the front four are firing again. I am tipping them to win on their travels here.

Best Bet: Man Utd win at 1.80
Value Bet: Man Utd win and Both Teams to Score at 3.10
Goalscorer Tip: Man Utd’s Hojlund to score anytime at 2.65

James O'Connor

James is a football analyst who writes about the tactics of the PSL and English Premier League. He holds the UEFA A coaching licence and has previously worked for several clubs in analysis roles.Twitter: https://twitter.com/footy_analysis