The Red Devils ended a four-match winless streak in the league in midweek. The Seagulls beat Ipswich on Thursday to end a run of four league draws in a row. Brighton have won five of their last six league meetings with Man Utd.
Match: Man Utd vs Brighton
When: Sunday, 19 January 2024, 16:00 SAST
Where: Old Trafford
Man Utd Form
United were in terrible form not long ago with six losses in nine matches. There were some dire displays in that run including losing 3-2 at home to Nottingham Forest and 3-0 at Old Trafford to Bournemouth. A 2-0 home loss followed against Newcastle.
Things have turned around somewhat of late. They fought hard to earn a 2-2 draw at Anfield although they still gave up 2.82 xG in that fixture. Last weekend, they again showed resilience to win at Arsenal on penalties in the FA Cup after playing 60 minutes with ten men. On Thursday, they came from 1-0 down to beat Southampton 3-1 thanks to Amad Diallo’s hattrick.
Man Utd Team News
Man Utd have Diogo Dalot available again after his suspension. His return should allow Amad Diallo to play in the front three instead of being used at wingback. Marcus Rashford is out of favour and is expected to depart this month.
Luke Shaw, Mason Mount, Jonny Evans and Victor Lindelof are all injured. Harry Maguire should return to the starting XI in defence. Youngster Toby Collyer could start in midfield ahead of Manuel Ugarte and Casemiro.
Man Utd Motivation
This is a tough test for Man Utd. They will play to win but are also looking to improve their performance levels.
Ruben Amorim’s side will try to show their preferred playing style but they may also be a bit more pragmatic in order to get the result.
Brighton Form
Brighton’s 2-0 win at Ipswich on Thursday ended an eight-match winless streak in the league (six draws, two losses). After losing 3-1 at home to Crystal Palace, they drew 1-1 at West Ham and 0-0 at home to Brentford. A 2-2 draw at Aston Villa saw them equalise in the 81st minute.
That improved result have been continued as they fought back to draw 1-1 at home to Arsenal. After smashing Norwich 4-0 away in the FA Cup, they scored two second-half goals to win at Ipswich. A toothless first half saw just 0.26 xG produced from 61% possession.
Brighton Team News
Coach Fabian Hurzeler had Tariq Lamptey, Danny Welbeck, Yankuba Minteh and Lewis Dunk available in midweek after recent problems. Ferdi Kadioglu and Igor Julio are absent in defence.
Jack Hinshelwood, James Milner and Mats Wieffer are all set to miss out in midfield. Evan Ferguson is nursing an ankle problem up front. Both Welbeck and Georginio Rutter are expected to be recalled to the starting XI for this one.
Brighton Motivation
The Seagulls will take the game to United, knowing their defence issues and fragile confidence.
Brighton will play to win and won’t settle for a draw. They’ve drawn too many matches and have lost ground in the league table.
Key Stats
Man Utd have lost 6 of their last 11 matches
Man Utd have lost 3 of their last 4 league matches at home
Man Utd’s Amad Diallo has scored 6 goals in his last 8 matches
Brighton have drawn 4 of their last 5 league matches
Brighton have won 5 of their last EPL 6 matches vs Man Utd
Verdict
The Seagulls look like the better-functioning team right now. They have a great record in this fixture and have every chance of leaving Old Trafford with at least one point.
Best Bet: Brighton win/draw double chance at 1.76
Value Bet: Brighton win at 3.30
Goalscorer Tip: Amad Diallo to score anytime at 2.90