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City have lost three of their last six matches and face a Magpies side with 12 wins in their last 14 fixtures. Man City have won 10 straight home matches vs Newcastle.
Match: Man City v Newcastle
When: Saturday, 15 February 2025, 17:00
Where: Ethihad Stadium
Man City Form
City had a run of nine losses in 12 fixtures before a six-match winless run which saw a 4-1 win vs West Ham, an 8-0 victory over Salford in the FA Cup and a 6-0 win at Ipswich. That improved form proved a false dawn as they have suffered three damaging losses in the last six fixtures.
They led 2-0 at PSG before collapsing to lose 4-2 as they conceded 26 shots and eight big chances. Successive 3-1 wins from behind followed against Chelsea and Club Brugge at the Etihad Stadium. A 5-1 humiliation at Arsenal and a 2-1 win away to Leyton Orient came next. In midweek, they surrendered two leads to lose 3-2 at home to Man City with 20 shots and 3.30 xG allowed
Man City Team News
Pep Guardiola is still without two long-term injured players in Rodri and Oscar Bobb. Vitor Reis is available at the back after being ineligible for the Champions League.
Jack Grealish is out injured with Phil Foden set to be recalled. Manuel Akanji went off injured in midfield and may miss out with Abdukodir Khusanov potentially set to cover.
Man City Motivation
City need a result to keep pace for a top-five finish and to restore some confidence. They face Real Madrid in midweek and that will be the priority.
Guardiola’s side will try to play their usual game. They will be wary of Newcastle’s speed on the break and could keep many players behind the ball.
Newcastle Form
Newcastle have won 12 of their last 14 matches, reaching a cup final. They had some impressive wins such as a 2-0 victory at Man Utd and a 2-1 win at Tottenham. They won 2-0 at Arsenal in the Carabao Cup semi-final first leg as they allowed 23 shots and 3.22 xG.
After a 3-0 win vs Wolves, Eddie Howe’s side lost 4-1 at home to Bournemouth. After a 3-1 win at Southampton, they lost 2-1 at home to Fulham. The Magpies reached the League Cup by beating Arsenal 2-0 at home to win 4-0 on aggregate. Their most recent fixture was a 3-2 victory at Birmingham.
Newcastle Team News
Eddie Howe rested nine players for the FA Cup. Most of those will return to the XI for this match. Sven Botman and Dan Burn are doubtful in defence whilst Jamaal Lascelles is ruled out.
Joelinton and Harvey Barnes are ruled out. A late fitness test is required for key winger Anthony Gordon. Newcastle must decide between a 4-3-3 and a 3-4-3 formation.
Newcastle Motivation
The Magpies will never get a better chance to win at Man City. They will go all out to win the match although a point is also a good result on paper.
Newcastle are set to have maybe a third of the ball and will play on the counter attack.
Key Stats
City have scored 30 goals in their last 10 EPL fixtures against the Toon
Man City won their last 10 home matches vs Newcastle in all competitions
Newcastle have failed to score in their last 6 trips to the Etihad
Newcastle have won 12 of their last 14 matches in all competitions
Newcastle’s Alexander Isak has scored 14 goals in his last 14 matches
Verdict
City are struggling and they have one eye on their midweek match vs Real Madrid. Newcastle are playing very well and have every chance of taking at least one point here.
Best Bet: Newcastle win/draw double chance at 1.85
Value Bet: Newcastle win at 3.50
Anytime Goalscorer Tip: Alexander Isak at 2.00
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