Man Utd vs Man City: Preview and Betting Tips | EPL 2025

The Red Devils won December’s meeting after losing five of the previous six derbies. City have lost three of their last seven league matches but United struggle in the league at Old Trafford. 

Match: Man Utd vs Man City
When: Sunday, 06 April 2025, 17:30
Where: Old Trafford

Man Utd Form

United saw a seven-match unbeaten run ended in midweek. Despite just four defeats in 18 fixtures, their league form is dire. Their last 17 EPL fixtures have yielded just 18 points with nine defeats. At Old Trafford, there have been five league losses in the last eight games at home.

After drawing 1-1 and then losing on penalties vs Fulham in the FA Cup, they drew 1-1 at Real Sociedad in the Europa League. A 1-1 draw with Arsenal and a 4-1 second-leg win over Real Sociedad hinted at real progress. They won 3-0 at Leicester before losing their last match 1-0 at Nottingham Forest. They outshot Forest 23-8 in that defeat.

Man Utd Team News

Ruben Amorim is without two key long-term injury victims in Lisandro Martinez and Amad Diallo. Luke Shaw is not quite ready to return whilst Ayden Heaven is also injured in defence.

Kobbie Mainoo could return to the squad for this match. Mason Mount is also fit again and featured in the last match. Harry Maguire is pushing for a recall in defence for this one.

Man Utd Motivation

United will play quite defensively in this match and look to hit City on the break. That approach led to a late win in the reverse fixture.

A draw would not be a disaster. Amorim will want to avoid injuries ahead of a key Europa League quarter-final but he can’t afford another home league defeat here.

Man City Form

City have lost five of their last eleven matches in all competitions. It’s three defeats in seven in the league, beginning with a poor 5-1 loss at Arsenal. They were knocked out of the Champions League by Real Madrid after a 6-4 aggregate loss including 3-1 in Spain in the second leg.

A 2-0 loss at home to Liverpool was followed by two wins, 1-0 at Tottenham and 3-1 at Plymouth in the FA Cup. Despite having 69% possession, they lost 1-0 at Nottingham Forest and drew 2-2 with Brighton having led twice before beating Bournemouth in the FA Cup (2-1 away).  In midweek, they beat Leicester 2-0 at home with just two shots allowed.

Man City Team News

Pep Guardiola made six changes to his XI in midweek, changing the entire front four. Rodri is still out injured and all of Nathan Ake, Manuel Akanji and John Stones will play no part.

Oscar Bobb is available again but Erling Haaland is out for the next six weeks with an ankle injury. Omar Marmoush could lead the line here.

Man City Motivation

City need to win as they look for a top-five finish to qualify for the Champions League.

The league is the top priority over the FA Cup. They will look to dominate Man Utd whilst guarding against fast breaks.

Key Stats

Man Utd have lost just 4 of their last 18 matches
Man Utd have lost 5 of their last 8 home league matches
Man City have lost 3 of their last 7 league matches
Man City have won 5 of the last 7 Manchester derbies

Verdict

This should be an interesting match but neither side is in top shape. The loss of Erling Haaland is a big blow but City should squeeze past a United side who struggle on home soil.

Best Bet: Man City win at 2.12
Value Bet: Man City win by exactly 1 goal at 3.80
Goalscorer Tip: Omar Marmoush to score anytime at 2.15