Brighton host Tottenham on Sunday in the English Premier League. The Seagulls are winless in their last four league matches, while Spurs have won five in a row across all competitions, including a dominant 3-0 victory over Manchester United last weekend. Tottenham have won seven of their last 10 meetings with Brighton.
Brighton Form
Brighton started the season strongly under young coach Fabian Hurzeler. They secured a 3-0 win against 10-man Everton on the opening day, followed by a late Joao Pedro goal to seal a 2-1 home win over Manchester United, where they generated 2.09 xG.
Their good form continued with a 1-1 draw against 10-man Arsenal, but they are now winless in four league fixtures. They threw away a lead in a 2-2 home draw against Nottingham Forest, despite outshooting their opponents 14-4. Last week, they lost 4-2 at Chelsea, allowing 4.16 xG and conceding seven big chances to the Blues.
Brighton Team News
The Seagulls are without Solly March, but German winger Brajan Gruda could make the bench. James Milner and Matt O’Riley are injured in midfield. Joao Pedro is nearing a return to the attack after an ankle injury.
There are defensive issues as well, with Jan Paul van Hecke ruled out. Adam Webster made critical mistakes against Chelsea, so Igor Julio could replace him. Joel Veltman is expected to return at right back, replacing Ferdi Kadioglu.
Brighton Motivation
Brighton will likely play similarly to how they approached the game at Stamford Bridge. Expect a very open style with a high defensive line.
The Seagulls will play to win and are unlikely to settle for a draw. They won’t adopt a more conservative approach even if leading in the second half.
Tottenham Form
Spurs ended last season with five losses in their final seven league matches but appear to have turned a corner this season. Their first three matches saw a 1-1 draw at Leicester, a 4-0 home win over Everton, and a 2-1 loss at Newcastle despite registering 20 shots. A 1-0 home loss to Arsenal followed.
Since then, Tottenham have won five consecutive matches. A 2-1 win at Coventry in the Carabao Cup was followed by a 3-1 home league win over Brentford, where they generated 3.52 xG. After beating Qarabag 3-0 with 10 men in the Europa League, they put up 4.59 xG and created nine big chances in a 3-0 win at Manchester United. On Thursday, they won 2-1 away at Ferencvaros.
Tottenham Team News
Richarlison and Wilson Odobert are ruled out for this match. Heung-Min Son is doubtful but is expected to be fit to replace Timo Werner on the left.
Destiny Udogie is 50-50 for this match, with Djed Spence likely to deputize at left back. The lineup is expected to remain unchanged from the win at Old Trafford.
Tottenham Motivation
Ange Postecoglou’s style of play won’t change for this match. If anything, he has been doubling down on his philosophy lately, with two attacking midfielders.
Tottenham won’t settle for a draw and will push for all three points until the final whistle.
Key Stats
Brighton are winless in four EPL matches despite having 72 shots during that span.
Brighton have won just two of their last eight home EPL matches (4 losses, 2 draws).
Tottenham have won their last five matches in all competitions.
Tottenham’s Brennan Johnson has scored in his last five matches.
Spurs have just two wins in their last nine away EPL fixtures (4 losses in the last 7).
Verdict
Tottenham’s away form hasn’t been the best, but their recent results and confidence are high. Brighton looked shaky defensively last week, so expecting a high-scoring match could be a smart bet.
Best Bet: Over 3.5 goals at 1.90
High Value Bet: Both Teams to Score in Both Halves at 6.25
Goalscorer Tip: Brennan Johnson to score anytime at 2.90