Brentford v Liverpool: Preview and Betting Tips | EPL 2025

The Bees have won just once in eight fixtures whilst the Reds have dropped points in four of their last seven league matches. Liverpool have won the last four matches (10-1 aggregate).

Match: Brentford v Liverpool
When: Saturday, 18 January 2024, 17:00 SAST
Where: Gtech Community Stadium

Brentford Form

A 4-2 home win over Newcastle in December made it seven home league victories in eight matches. Their eight matches since then have yielded just one victory. A 2-1 loss at Chelsea was followed by a 3-1 League Cup loss at Newcastle before losing 2-0 at home to Nottingham Forest.

A 0-0 stalemate at Brighton was followed by losing 3-1 at home to Arsenal. A 5-0 win at Southampton ended a nine-match winless streak in away league matches (seven losses, two draws). Since then, they’ve suffered a shock 1-0 home loss in the FA Cup to Plymouth before drawing 2-2 with Man City in midweek having trailed 2-0 after 81 minutes.

Brentford Team News

Ethan Pinnock, Kristoffer Ajer and Aaron Hickey are all ruled out in defence. Rico Henry is back in contention after recovering from an ACL knee injury.

Igor Thiago is still injured up front and his return date is unknown. Keane Lewis-Potter could continue in an unfamiliar left back role. In attack, Kevin Schade is pushing for a recall in place of Mikkel Damsgaard.

Brentford Motivation

The Bees are struggling at home suddenly and will want to get back on track. A point here would be a great result.

Thomas Frank’s side will look to be compact and try to use fast breaks and set-pieces to hurt Liverpool.

Liverpool Form

The Reds have lost two of their 31 matches this season across all competitions. However, they have won just three of their last seven league fixtures. A 3-3 draw at Newcastle was followed by a 2-2 home draw against Fulham. Four straight wins followed those dropped points with 16 goals scored.

The final victory in that run was a 5-0 win at West Ham before drawing 2-2 at home to Man Utd despite putting up 2.82 xG. A 1-0 Carabao Cup semi-final first-leg loss at Tottenham has been followed by a 4-0 FA Cup win over Accrington Stanley and a 1-1 draw at Nottingham Forest. They outshot their opponents 23-6 in that fixture.

Liverpool Team News

Arne Slot has just one injury ahead of this match. Joe Gomez will play no part in defence due a hamstring injury. Darwin Nunez returns to the squad after serving a one-match ban.

Liverpool may consider some rotation to freshen up the XI. Kosta Tsimikas is pushing to replace Andy Robertson at left back whilst Diogo Jota could be rewarded with a start up front after scoring from the bench at the City Ground.

Liverpool Motivation

Nothing less than a win will be targeted by Liverpool. They performed very well at Nottingham Forest but could only take a point.

They will look to attack the Bees and control their counters and set-piece threat.

Key Stats

Brentford have won just 1 of their last 8 matches (5 losses)

Brentford are winless in 3 home EPL matches (LLD) after losing just 1 of 14 before that

Liverpool have lost just once in 27 matches (21 wins, 5 draws)

Liverpool have scored 21 goals in their last 7 matches

Liverpool have won their last 4 matches vs Brentford (10-1 aggregate)

Verdict

The Bees have suddenly lost some confidence at home. They’re capable of an upset but Liverpool look formidable and should take the three points. Salah is one to watch with Lewis-Potter deputising at left back for the hosts.

Best Bet: Liverpool win at 1.50
Value Bet: Liverpool win (-1 goal handicap) at 2.15
Goalscorer Tip: Mo Salah to score first/last at 2.40