Aston Villa v Liverpool: Preview and Betting Tips | EPL 2025

The Reds have a chance to go ten points clear at the summit whilst Villa are five points off the top five. Liverpool have won on three of their last four trips to Villa Park. This match has been moved forward due to the Reds’ involvement in the Carabao Cup final.

Match: Aston Villa v Liverpool
When: Wednesday, 19 February 2025, 21:30
Where: Villa Park

Aston Villa Form

Villa have been inconsistent all season. They have won just five of their last 17 league matches and they’re currently on a four-match winless streak. After winning 1-0 at Everton, they fought from 2-0 down to draw 2-2 at Arsenal. A 1-1 loss at Monaco in the Champions League preceded a 1-1 home draw vs West Ham.

A hattrick from Morgan Rogers yielded a 4-2 home victory over Celtic. However, their league struggles continued in a 2-0 loss at Wolves before beating Tottenham 2-1 at home in the FA Cup with 2.14 xG produced. Their last match saw a poor result to draw 1-1 at home to Ipswich despite facing ten men for 50 minutes. Villa had 25 shots and missed six big chances.

Aston Villa Team News

Unai Emery is without seven players for this match. The defence is depleted by injuries to Ezri Konsa, Matty Cash and Pau Torres. Boubacar Kamara was deputising in defence but is also out.

Tyrone Mings has returned and will partner Axel Disasi. Ross Barkley, Andre Onana and Leon Bailey are all ruled out. Marcus Rashford and Marco Asensio could both be handed their first starts.

Aston Villa Motivation

Villa’s defensive woes means that they can’t sit back. They are not equipped to absorb pressure.

They will take the game to Liverpool with their speed and power in attack.

Liverpool Form

Liverpool are seven points clear in the table and can go 10 points clear here, albeit with one extra match played. Their last 14 matches have seen just eight wins with a fair few defeats. They lost 1-0 to Tottenham in the Carabao Cup semi-final first leg before four wins in the next five.

A 3-2 loss in the Champions League at PSV was effectively a dead rubber before winning 2-0 at Bournemouth and smashing Tottenham 4-0 to reach the League Cup final. A 1-0 loss at Plymouth in the FA Cup was followed by conceding a last-gasp goal to draw 2-2 at Everton. They bounced back to beat Wolves 2-1 on Sunday but they were outshot 10-0 in the second half of that one.

Liverpool Team News

Arne Slot is without Joe Gomez in defence but Curtis Jones is back from suspension. Cody Gakpo is ruled out so we may see Diogo Jota down the middle again with Luis Diaz on the left.

There could be some rotation in the fullback areas with Kostas Tsimikas getting a start. Trent Alexander-Arnold is just back from injury so Conor Bradley may get an opportunity with Man City coming up on Sunday.

Liverpool Motivation

The Reds are showing some signs of fatigue. This match is a tough one ahead of playing Man City.

Slot’s side will play for the win and may be willing to grind one out with little consideration for performance levels, just the three points.

Key Stats

Aston Villa have lost 3 of their last 4 home matches vs Liverpool

Villa have won just 5 of their last 17 EPL matches (winless in 4 currently)

Liverpool have lost just 3 of their last 37 matches (28 wins, 6 draws)

Liverpool have scored 42 goals in their last 17 matches

Liverpool’s Salah has scored 6 goals in his last 9 league matches vs Villa

Verdict

This match is hard to call because the Reds are showing some fatigue whilst Villa’s defence is depleted. The latter factor may be the key one as Liverpool take the three points.

Featured Bet: Liverpool win, BTTS Yes and Salah to score anytime at 4.00
Alternate Bet: Liverpool win and Over 2.5 goals at 2.55
Goalscorer Tip: Mo Salah to score anytime at 1.90