The Gunners are winless in three matches and have dropped points in three of their last six EPL matches. Spurs have won successive matches after winning just two of their previous 11 fixtures.
Match: Arsenal v Tottenham
When: Wednesday, 15 January 2024, 22:00 SAST
Where: Emirates Stadium
Arsenal Form
The Gunners are not in the best form and their season teeters on the brink. A 1-1 draw at Fulham and a 0-0 draw vs Everton were costly dropped points. Four successive wins followed including an impressive 3-1 victory at Brentford.
Their last three matches have seen no victories. A 1-1 draw at Brighton saw a lead surrendered before losing 2-0 at home to Newcastle in the first leg of the Carabao Cup semi finals. They outshot the Magpies 23-7 and had 3.22 xG in that loss.
On Sunday, they lost on penalties at home to Man Utd in the FA Cup despite facing ten men for 60 minutes including extra time.
Arsenal Team News
Mikel Arteta is having a terrible time with injuries. Ben White and Takehiro Tomiyasu are out injured and there’s a question mark over Jurrien Timber, although he should be fit. Both Jorginho and Riccardo Calafiori will need late fitness tests before this one.
Bukayo Saka is out long-term and Gabriel Jesus has suffered a long-term knee injury. Ethan Nwaneri is not available but Raheem Sterling has returned to boost the attacking options.
Arsenal Motivation
The Gunners are out of the FA Cup and have one foot out of the League Cup. All focus can go on the league and trying to chase down Liverpool.
This is a must-win match. Arteta’s side is lacking energy and may look to score first and then sit in a low block.
Tottenham Form
Spurs are highly inconsistent. They have won their last two matches after a run of just two wins in 11 fixtures before that. After a five-match winless run, they won 5-0 at Southampton and 4-3 at home to Man Utd. A 6-3 home loss to Liverpool and a 1-0 loss at Nottingham Forest followed.
After only drawing 2-2 at home to Wolves after conceding late, they were beaten 2-1 at home by Newcastle. Their last two matches have seen two big results. A 1-0 home win over Liverpool in the Carabao Cup semi-final first leg preceded a 3-0 win at Tamworth in the FA Cup after extra time.
Tottenham Team News
Spurs are decimated by injuries. Goalkeeper Guglielmo Vicario is out and so are defenders Micky van de Ven, Cristian Romero, Destiny Udogie and Ben Davies. Sergio Reguilon could get a start at left back.
Timo Werner, Wilson Odobert, Richarlison are all set to be absent in attack. Rodrigo Bentancur will sit out a number of weeks after his concussion against Liverpool. Antonin Kinsky is set to play in goal whilst Lucas Bergvall is set to start in midfield.
Tottenham Motivation
Tottenham will be highly motivated to pull off a shock and to damage Arsenal’s title hopes here.
Ange Postecoglou will not deviate from his attacking and open style of play. Set-pieces could be key again and they’re a real weakness for Spurs.
Key Stats
Arsenal have lost just 1 of their last 15 matches (9 wins, 5 draws)
Arsenal have lost just 1 of their last 18 home matches (5 clean sheets in the last 8)
Arsenal have won 4 of their last 5 matches vs Spurs
Tottenham have won just 4 of their last 13 matches
Tottenham have lost 5 of their last 7 league matches
Spurs’ Dejan Kulusevski has scored 6 goals in his last 10 matches
Verdict
Both of these sides are hit by injuries. Spurs’ weakened defence and their poor record in this fixture could lead to a Gunners win.
Best Bet: Arsenal to win and Over 2.5 goals at 1.80
Alternate Bet: Arsenal win (-1 handicap) at 1.95
High Value Goalscorer Tip: Dejan Kulusevski to score anytime at 6.50