Chelsea head into the midweek round of matches five points clear of fifth but that gap may be cut by the time they face Manchester City. The Champions League chasing pack will bank on Chelsea dropping points here.

Meanwhile, Manchester City have scored eight goals without conceding in their first two matches back since Project restart. They are already in great form going forward but they still need to turn up as they lost their last Premier League trip to Stamford Bridge 2-0.

Chelsea – 4.10

Draw – 4.15

Manchester City – 1.80

The Lowdown

Chelsea came from behind to beat Aston Villa in their last Premier League match, in the process they confirmed they are the frontrunners for a Champions League place. 

The Blues have drawn just 1 of their last 14 competitive home matches this campaign. Furthermore, across Chelsea’s last 10 home matches, both teams have scored just twice.

There’s could be goals as Chelsea have seen over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 home matches. Overall, their total average output of 3.1 goals per match is bettered by just City ahead of this match.

Manchester City, meanwhile, have not drawn in 14 competitive matches away from home (W11, L3). Across those 14 matches, 3.29 total goals were scored on average, with City alone scoring 3+ goals on an eye-catching 6 occasions and it seems they’ve are in this kind of mood since Project Restart.

In the league, just 1 of their previous 15 away matches have seen the points shared so far (W9, L5). Despite being the league’s highest goalscorers on the road, none of their last 4 away matches have seen over 2.5 goals.

Team News

Jorginho should be in contention after returning from suspension to boost Chelsea’s midfield options. American Christian Pulisic changed the game for Chelsea off the bench in their 2-1 win over Aston Villa, he should be in line for a starting berth. Frank Lampard must also decide between Olivier Giroud and Tammy Abraham to lead the line against City. Giroud might be in pole position after netting in their last match.

Sergio Aguero suffered a knee injury in Monday’s 5-0 rout over Burnley, it’s possible he might not be available for the rest of the season. Kyle Walker, Aymeric Laporte, Benjamin Mendy, Kevin De Bruyne, Raheem Sterling and Gabriel Jesus should all return to the starting XI. After starting Manchester City’s first two games back, David Silva is due a rest and may drop out.

Last 5 Head to Heads

2019 EPL – Man City 2-1 Chelsea

2019 EFL – Chelsea 0-0 Man City

2019 EPL – Man City 6-0 Chelsea

2018 EPL – Chelsea 2-0 Man City

2018 CS – Chelsea 0-2 Man City

Match Stats

Man City have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their last 7 matches.

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 6 of Chelsea’s last 7 games.

Chelsea have seen under 2.5 goals in their last 4 home matches against Man City in all competitions. 

There have been under 2.5 goals scored in Man City’s last 4 away games. 

Chelsea have scored at least 2 goals in 6 of their last 7 matches.

Chelsea have scored in both halves in 3 of their last 4 matches.

Just 1 of the last 7 head to heads saw both teams score.

Best Bets

Man City have had the upper hand in recent head to heads and their form since the start of the league has been superb. You’d have to back them despite playing at Stamford Bridge.

Suggested Bet: Man City to win at 1.80

Man City have scored 8 goals in their 2 matches without conceding a goal. The best team in the league since the restart. Simply sensational.

Value Bet: Man City to win to zero at 2.95

Chelsea have scored at least two goals in their last 4 league matches. They might not beat City but they could get on the score sheet, and keep in the mind the reverse fixture ended 2-1.

Value Bet: Man City win and BTTS at 3.05

or

Value Bet: BTTs and over 2.5 goals at 1.95

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