Chelsea v Aston Villa – Preview, Predictions, and Best Bets

Chelsea host Aston Villa in the Premier League on Sunday, with just three points separating the two sides in the standings. Villa come into this match with an impressive recent record at Stamford Bridge, remaining unbeaten in their last four visits (two wins, two draws).

Chelsea Form

Chelsea currently sit third in the Premier League but already trail the leaders by nine points. Their last six league games have brought just two wins. A 1-1 home draw against Nottingham Forest and a 2-1 loss at Liverpool highlighted their inconsistency.

They bounced back with a 4-1 UEFA Conference League win at Panathinaikos and a 2-1 league victory over Newcastle. However, they then suffered a 2-0 defeat to Newcastle in the Carabao Cup before drawing 1-1 at Manchester United. Chelsea also recorded a commanding 8-0 win over Noah in the Conference League.

Before the international break, the Blues drew 1-1 at home to Arsenal after coming from behind and secured a 2-1 victory at Leicester, which was a largely comfortable win. A second-string squad will travel to Heidenheim in the Conference League on Thursday to keep the focus on this weekend’s match.

Chelsea Team News

Enzo Maresca is set to heavily rotate his XI on Thursday. Reece James, Malo Gusto and Pedro Neto are the three injury doubts coming into this clash with Aston Villa.

Wesley Fofana may have to deputise at right back again with Benoit Badiashile starting at centre back. If Neto misses out, Joao Felix could get another chance to start in a wider role.

Chelsea Motivation

Chelsea’s decision to rest key players midweek underscores their focus on securing a win against Aston Villa. Anything less than three points will be seen as a poor result, especially after dropping points at home to Crystal Palace and Nottingham Forest earlier this season.

Aston Villa Form

Aston Villa have faced a mixed run of results recently. After a 10-match unbeaten streak, their form has dipped, with three losses in their last six games.

Their slump began with a 2-0 defeat at Bournemouth (playing with ten men). They secured a 1-0 win over Shakhtar and drew 2-2 at home against Liverpool after squandering a 2-0 lead. Despite a 3-0 win over Preston in the Carabao Cup, Villa have lost twice in the last week: 1-0 at Newcastle and 1-0 at Inter Milan.

Aston Villa Team News

Aston Villa will be without Jacob Ramsey in midfield for this game, but Boubacar Kamara shook off a knock to start in midweek. Amadou Onana remains a doubt in midfield and will need a late fitness test.

Ezri Konsa should be fit to start at Stamford Bridge, either in place of Matty Cash at right back or replacing Diego Carlos centrally. Jhon Duran will be used as an impact substitute once again.

Aston Villa Motivation

Aston Villa will approach this match with confidence, having won twice at Stamford Bridge in recent seasons. Emery’s side is likely to adopt a cautious approach, defending compactly and relying on the pace of Leon Bailey and Ollie Watkins to exploit Chelsea on the counter. A draw would be a satisfactory result, but Villa won’t shy away from seeking all three points.

Key Stats

Chelsea have won just 4 of their last 9 matches.

Chelsea have won 12 of their last 18 home Premier League matches.

Aston Villa have lost 4 of their last 6 games (after 8 wins and 3 draws in the previous 11).

Villa have conceded 32 goals in their last 21 matches, with only 1 clean sheet in their last 7 games.

Aston Villa are unbeaten in their last 4 visits to Chelsea (2 wins, 2 draws).

Verdict

Chelsea’s struggles at home and Villa’s strong record at Stamford Bridge suggest this could be a tightly contested match. Both teams have vulnerabilities, and a draw seems the most likely outcome.

Best Bet: Aston Villa win/draw double chance at 2.10
High Value Bet: Draw at 4.15
Alternate Bet: Both Teams to Score + Over 2.5 goals at 1.83