Dortmund v Bayern Munich – Preview, Predictions and Best Bets

Dortmund host Bayern Munich in the Bundesliga on Saturday. BVB have struggled for consistency, losing four of their last eight league matches, though they’ve won four of their last five games in all competitions. Bayern, historically dominant in this fixture, have won nine of their last 11 Bundesliga meetings with Dortmund, though they did lose 2-0 to BVB in March.

Dortmund Form

Dortmund’s form has improved recently after a poor stretch that included five losses in eight matches. That run featured wild results such as a 5-1 defeat at Stuttgart, a 7-1 demolition of Celtic, and a 5-2 loss to Real Madrid despite being level at 2-2 with just eight minutes remaining.

Following a 2-1 loss at Augsburg and a 1-0 defeat to Wolfsburg in the DFB-Pokal, pressure mounted on coach Nuri Şahin. However, Dortmund have bounced back, starting with a 2-1 win against RB Leipzig and a 1-0 victory over Sturm Graz. After a 3-1 loss at Mainz, BVB secured back-to-back wins: a 4-0 rout of Freiburg and a 3-0 triumph over Dinamo Zagreb on Wednesday night.

Dortmund Team News

Nuri Şahin will be without Emre Can, who is suspended. Winger Karim Adeyemi is nearing full fitness but may not be ready for this match. Gio Reyna is doubtful, but Julien Duranville is available, adding depth to the wide positions.

Serhou Guirassy is expected to lead the line, with Max Beier likely returning to the bench after starting midweek.

Dortmund Motivation

Dortmund’s recent wins have restored some confidence, and they will stick to their attacking philosophy. BVB will aim to dominate possession, as shown by their 70% ball control against Dinamo Zagreb, and push for a victory against their fiercest rivals.

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Bayern Munich Form

Bayern have rebounded strongly after a few surprising losses earlier this season, including a 4-1 defeat at Barcelona. They are now on a seven-match winning streak. Highlights of this run include a 5-0 thrashing of Bochum, a 4-0 DFB-Pokal win over Mainz, and a 3-0 victory against Union Berlin.

In the Champions League, Bayern edged Benfica 1-0 after creating numerous chances (24 shots to 1) and followed that up with a 1-0 win at St. Pauli. They defeated Augsburg 3-0 in the league and, in midweek, overcame a ten-man PSG side 1-0 despite squandering four big chances.

Bayern Munich Team News

Vincent Kompany has several absentees for this match. Joao Palhinha is out with a groin injury, and Aleksandar Pavlovic is not yet fit to return.

Right-back Josip Stanišić remains sidelined, as does center-back Hiroki Ito. Kompany may field Konrad Laimer or Raphael Guerreiro out of position at right-back. On the right wing, Michael Olise is expected to return to the starting XI.

Bayern Munich Motivation

Bayern sit six points clear at the top of the Bundesliga and will view this as an opportunity to further solidify their position. Kompany’s side is unlikely to sit back; they will aim to dominate possession and dictate the game, even away from home.

Key Stats

Dortmund have lost 4 of their last 8 league matches, conceding 16 goals.

Serhou Guirassy has scored 15 goals in his last 16 matches for club and country.

Dortmund have won just 1 of their last 11 Bundesliga matches against Bayern (9 losses).

Bayern’s Harry Kane has scored 18 goals in his last 15 matches.

Bayern Munich have won 14 of their 18 matches this season, scoring 55 goals.

Verdict

This match promises to be highly entertaining, with plenty of attacking football from both sides. Goals are almost guaranteed, with both teams expected to find the net. Bayern’s superior quality and clinical edge make them favorites to come out on top, with Harry Kane and Serhou Guirassy both strong candidates to make the scoresheet.

Best Bet: Over 3.5 goals at 1.90

Value Bet: Bayern Munich win and Over 3.5 goals at 3.20

Anytime Goalscorer Tips: Guirassy at 2.90 or Kane at 1.68 (or both at 5.38)