Aston Villa v Newcastle – Preview, Predictions, and Best Bets

Aston Villa host Newcastle in the English Premier League on Tuesday. The Villains have won their last four home fixtures vs the Magpies and have 16 of their last 17 home league fixtures. Eddie Howe’s team have just one win in 10 away matches in the league this term.

Aston Villa Form

Villa have drawn 0-0 in their last two matches. In their last league matches, they only put up 1.26 xG from 69% possession in a stalemate at Everton. Their last match brought a hard-fought 0-0 draw at Chelsea in the FA Cup fourth round. Emery oversaw a run of 13 wins in 17 matches in the league and cup competitions before a surprise 1-1 home draw vs Sheffield United.

A 3-2 defeat at Man Utd followed that draw as a 2-0 lead was blown. They bounced back to win 3-2 at home against ten-man Burnley and won 1-0 at Middlesbrough in the FA Cup. The two scoreless draws followed that win.

Aston Villa Team News

Aston Villa are without the two players due to long-term knee injuries in Emi Buendia and Tyrone Mings. Bertrand Traore is still away at the AFCON and Lucas Digne is out. Pau Torres remains a doubt for this match.

Jacob Ramsey is nearing a return to action. After some rotation at Stamford Bridge, Diego Carlos could return with Ezri Konsa moving to right back. Leon Bailey is also expected to be recalled in place of Moussa Diaby.

Aston Villa Motivation

illa will be very motivated to keep their incredible streak at Villa Park going. They tend to play well against Newcastle and beat the Toon.

Emery won’t see a draw as a good result and won’t settle for one at any stage.

Newcastle Form

Newcastle have lost eight of their last 11 matches with three wins during that streak. Two of those wins came in the FA Cup on their travels. After three losses in a row, they beat ten-man Fulham 3-0 at home. Four more losses followed, including losing 1-0 at Luton and 3-1 at home to Nottingham Forest.

A 4-2 loss at Liverpool saw an incredible 7.11 xG conceded. A 3-0 win at arch-rivals Sunderland brought some confidence, before conceding late to lose 3-2 at home to Man City having led 2-1 after 73 minutes. Their last match saw a 2-0 win at a heavily-rotated Fulham team in the FA Cup.

Newcastle Team News

Newcastle are without Nick Pope in goal and Jamaal Lascelles is a doubt at the back. Sandro Tonali, Elliott Anderson, Joe Willock, and Joelinton are all absent in midfield.

Miguel Almiron is ill amid links with a move to Saudi Arabia. Jacob Murphy is back, and Callum Wilson is nearing a return. The match comes too soon for Harvey Barnes.

Newcastle Motivation

The Toon are poor on their travels and have a dire record at Villa Park.

They would probably take a draw in this one and look to build some confidence in the league.

Key Stats

Aston Villa have lost just once in 14 matches

Aston Villa have won 16 of their last 17 home EPL matches

Villa have won their last 4 home matches vs Newcastle

Newcastle have won just 1 of their 10 away EPL matches this season (7 losses)

Newcastle have failed to score in 6 of their last 7 matches at Villa Park

Verdict

The stats and the respective home/away form guides suggest a Villa win here. A narrow victory is expected with a 1-0 correct score looking like a tempting tip.

Best Bet: Aston Villa win at 1.95
Alternative Bet: Aston Villa win to nil at 4.05
Correct Score Tip: Aston Villa 1-0 Newcastle at 10.50

James O'Connor

James is a football analyst who writes about the tactics of the PSL and English Premier League. He holds the UEFA A coaching licence and has previously worked for several clubs in analysis roles.Twitter: https://twitter.com/footy_analysis