Arsenal v PSG – Preview, Predictions and Best Bets

Arsenal will face PSG in the first leg of the UEFA Champions League semi-final on Tuesday. Neither of these clubs have ever won this competition. They met in the League Stage in October as Arsenal won 2-0 at home.

Match: Arsenal v PSG
When: Tuesday, 29 April 2025, 21:00
Where: Emirates Stadium

Arsenal Form

Arsenal are 12 matches unbeaten across all competitions. After beating Chelsea 1-0 and Fulham 2-1 at home, they dropped points in a 1-1 draw at Everton. In their Champions League semi-final first leg, they beat Real Madrid 3-0 at home. A 1-1 draw at Brentford in the league followed.

The Gunners went to Spain and beat Real Madrid 2-1 in the second leg to reach the semis after a 5-1 aggregate win. After cruising past ten-man Ipswich 4-0 away, they dropped more league points last time out. A 2-2 home draw vs Crystal Palace saw Arsenal outshot 15-12 with 1.81 xG allowed.

Arsenal Team News

Arsenal have some long-term injuries and some knocks to deal with ahead of this match. Gabriel Jesus and Kai Havertz are ruled out in attack and neither Gabriel nor Takehiro Tomiyasu will feature in defence.

Riccardo Calafiori should be back in the squad for this one and both Ben White and Mikel Merino should shake off knocks to play. Jorginho is ruled out.

Arsenal Motivation

The Gunners have no distractions ahead of this match. The league is over and they should secure second place.

Full attention is on the Champions League. They will play to win this first leg, knowing how difficult the return match in Paris will be next week.

PSG Form

PSG have lost two of their last four matches having lost just once in 30 fixtures before that. They reached the quarter-final stage but winning 1-0 at Anfield and progressing on penalties. Three league wins followed to seal the Ligue 1 title.

In the quarter-finals, they beat Aston Villa 3-1 in the first leg with 75% possession and 29 shots. They lost 3-2 away in the second leg and progressed on aggregate. Since then, they have beaten Le Havre 2-1, drawn 1-1 at Nantes and lost 3-1 at home to Nice to end their unbeaten league season dreams.

PSG Team News

Coach Luis Enrique used his best XI last Friday to keep everyone match fit. There are no current injuries to deal with now that Kang-in Lee has returned in attack.

The Spanish coach is set to select teenager Desire Doue ahead of Bradley Barcola. Marquinhos will play in defence ahead of fellow Brazilian Lucas Beraldo.

PSG Motivation

PSG are 100% focused on this competition. That has shown in their distracted Ligue 1 displays in recent weeks.

They will go to the Emirates and look to avoid defeat. PSG will try to keep the ball and play on the front foot, as they did at Anfield recently.

Key Stats

Arsenal are unbeaten in 3 matches vs PSG (won 2-0 in Oct 2024)

Arsenal are 11 home UCL matches unbeaten (9 wins)

PSG have lost just 3 of their last 34 matches in all competitions

PSG’s Dembele has scored 27 goals in his last 29 matches (goalless in last 5)

PSG have won just 4 of 18 away UCL matches vs English clubs

Verdict

Arsenal are strong at home and beat PSG earlier this season. They could take a narrow first-leg lead at the Emirates.

Best Bet: Arsenal win at 2.30
Alternate Bet: Both Teams to Score at 1.76
High Value Bet: Arsenal to win by exactly 1 goal margin at 3.65