05 December 2019, by: Leonard Solms
Manchester Derby Betting Guide
Manchester City host Manchester United at the Etihad Stadium on Saturday looking to keep their Premier League title ambitions alive. Kick-off is scheduled for 19:30 SAST.
United proved in Wednesday’s 2-1 win over Tottenham that for all their struggles this season, they are still very much capable of standing up to England’s best teams.
However, a trip to the Etihad to face noisy neighbours City is likely to be a significantly more arduous task than hosting Spurs was.
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Manchester United sit sixth on the Premier League table with only five wins from 15 games, but their record in 2019-20 against last season’s top five plus high-flying Leicester City makes for surprising reading.
In six encounters across all competitions against these teams, United have won four games, drawn two, and lost none.
City, by contrast, lost 3-1 on their Premier League visit to Anfield last month.
However, further analysis of United’s statistics this season gives Ole Gunnar Solskjær cause for concern.
Of their six games against fellow ‘big six’ teams plus Leicester, only one has been away from home. This, in part, explains United’s favourable record in crunch clashes.
On the road, the Red Devils have been abysmal in 2019-20. Their Premier League away record this season stands at one win, three draws, and three defeats.
Manchester City’s home league record in 2019-20 is five wins, one draw, and one loss. This makes Pep Guardiola’s men clear favourites to win. Also, City were in full flow in a 4-1 away win at Burnley on Tuesday.
Manchester City have seen over of 2.5 goals in 13 of their 15 Premier League matches this season – joint highest in the league alongside Liverpool.
Mancheser United have seen over 2.5 goals only seven times in their 15 Premier League matches this season.
Manchester City have seen over of 3.5 goals in 10 of their 15 Premier League matches this season – joint highest in the league alongside Liverpool.
Manchester City are paying 0.30 for the win, which means there are bigger returns on offer elsewhere. A draw is paying 4.50 and a United victory 8.00.
City have seen BTTS (Both Teams To Score) in their last eight games and United in their last five. All of these five Red Devils fixtures have seen over 2.5 goals, while City have seen over 2.5 in six of their last eight.
BTTS Yes/Over 2.5 goals is paying 1.05, which represents value in a derby which has seen this outcome in three of the last four clashes.
Correct Score Prediction: Manchester City 2-1 Manchester United (6.75)
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