23 July 2020, by Carl Lewis

Premier League Stat Pack – Gameweek 38

It’s the final weekend of the Premier League 2019/2020 season and although the champions have been crowned – the relegation scrap and top-four battle will be decided on Sunday. All matches start at 17:00 South African time.

Sunday 26 July

Watford v Arsenal

A 1-0 loss at Aston Villa means Arsenal have finished below Tottenham again and which means Mikel Arteta will want a response ahead of the FA Cup final next month. Arsenal are favourites to win and have won 5 of their last 6 home matches.

Watford are in turmoil having sacked Nigel Pearson with 2 matches left and need to avoid defeat to entertain any hopes of guarding their Premier League status. They have won 2 of their last 4 matches, but away from home, they are winless in 7, losing 6.

Best Bet: Arsenal to win at 1.95

Burnley v Brighton

Burnley are on a seven-match unbeaten run and have lost just 1 of their last 15 matches, despite going through their very own off-field turmoil.

There is no pressure on Brighton as their Premier League safety is also guaranteed. They are unbeaten in 6 away matches, drawing 5, but they have failed to score in their 2 Premier League visits to Turf Moor.

This game last season ended 1-0 to Burnley and it would not be foolish to bet on another low-scoring affair as there has been under 2.5 goals scored in Burnley’s last 7 matches and under 2.5 goals scored in Brighton’s last 5 away matches.

Best Bet: Under 2.5 goals at 1.86 or Burnley to win at 2.30

Chelsea v Wolves

A draw would be enough for Chelsea to finish in the top four despite their 5-3 loss to Liverpool midweek. Conceivably, Chelsea could lose to Wolves and finish fourth, but that would require Manchester United beating Leicester at the King Power. Also, Chelsea have been winning at both half time and full time in their last 5 home matches.

Wolves cannot improve on their current league position of sixth but can drop below Tottenham on the last day of the season. Wolves have failed to score more than once in their last 3 away league matches and there’s been under 2.5 goals scored in 8 of their last 9 matches. Wolves were pummeled 5-2 by Chelsea in the reverse fixture last year September. 

Best Bet: BTTS and over 2.5 goals at 2.20

Crystal Palace v Tottenham

Crystal Palace have nothing to play for and it shows by their disastrous form since the restart. Since their 2-0 win over Bournemouth in their first match back, Palace have lost the last 7 on the trot. Palace have scored just 2 goals in their last 7 matches, both coming in a 3-2 loss to Chelsea.

It’s the opposite for Tottenham, who are ending the campaign strongly despite some underwhelming performances. Unbeaten in 5, winning 4, Spurs want to extend their winning run because they cans till qualify for the Europa League. Tottenham have scored at least 2 goals in their last 3 matches.

Best Bet: Tottenham to win to zero at 2.30

Everton v Bournemouth

Everton ended a four-match winless run with a win over Sheffield United but they still do not have much to play for besides finishing in 11th. The Toffees are unbeaten in 11 at home. 

Bournemouth have won 1 match in their last 12 league matches. The Cherries have lost their last 9 away matches and are 3 points from the expected drop so they desperately need the win. There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 5 of Bournemouth’s last 6 away matches as well.

Best Bet: Everton to win at 2.20

Leicester City v Manchester United

Most eyes will be on this fixture because there is so much at stake. Leicester knows they will finish in the top four if they beat Manchester United. A draw may be good enough but only if Chelsea lose to Wolves. Leicester have a few players missing in defence which could affect their performance in this particular crunch match.

United must only avoid defeat at Leicester and a Champions League finish is theirs. They could conceivably lose on and still finish fourth but would needs Wolves to beat Chelsea at Stamford Bridge. United have been lacklustre in recent games but are still undefeated in their last 13 matches. Expect a cagey affair, especially at the beginning.

Best Bet: Under 2.5 goals at 1.90

Manchester City v Norwich

Manchester City smashed Watford 4-0 midweek and now finish their campaign against the already relegated Norwich. The Canaries have lost their last 9 matches in a row and finish the season with one of the hardest fixtures possible. City have scored already experienced a 7-0 home win against Norwich in recent encounters and expect another drubbing on Sunday. Especially considering that neither club have much to play for.

Best Bet: Over 4.5 goals at 2.30

Newcastle v Liverpool

Injuries have hit Newcastle hard with the Magpies have failing to win their last 5 matches, so with nothing to play for the in the league, their performances have indicated just that.

Liverpool lifted the Premier League trophy on Wednesday and would want to end the season on a high and 99 points. They showed in 5-3 win over Chelsea that they still have an appetite for goals so Sunday’s match could be another exciting one for the neutral.

Best Bet: Liverpool win and over 3.5 goals at 2.80

Southampton v Sheffield United

Southampton have been enjoying life since the restart and are unbeaten in 6, winning 3. They can potentially leapfrog Everton into 11th with a positive result against the Blades. There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 8 of Southampton’s last 10 home games. While there have been under 2.5 goals scored in 13 of Sheff Utd’s last 16 away matches.

Sheffield United’s hopes of a European finish was stopped in a 1-0 loss to Everton on Monday, but that shouldn’t take away what has been a superb return to the Premier League. Once again, there is nothing much to play for on either side so entertainment could be the order of the day.

Best Bet: Over 2.5 goals at 1.90

West Ham v Aston Villa

West Ham are safe from relegation so they can play with freedom after a 1-1 draw against Manchester United at Old Trafford. T

Aston Villa now have their Premier League status in their own hands their massive win over Arsenal in the week. A point may be enough for Villa, and that may well be the best they can get out of David Moyes’ men right now considering they failed to win their last 7 away matches.

Best Bet: Draw at 3.65

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