3 July 2020, by Carl Lewis

Premier League Stat Pack – Gameweek 33

Saturday 4 July

13:30 – Norwich v Brighton

A massive six-pointer in the relegations scrap, a win for Brighton would not only all but end Norwich’s faint survival hopes but also move them a big step closer to safety. The Canaries have suffered 3 straight defeats and without scoring any goals.

Brighton have drawn their last 4 away matches and have seen under 2.5 goals scored in Brighton’s last 3 away games. The reverse fixture ended 2-0 to Brighton earlier in the season and could head that way in this match considering how lacklustre and uninspired Norwich have been.

Best Bet: Brighton to win at 2.25

16:00 – Manchester United v Bournemouth

Considering the two sides form in recent weeks, the result of this match looks like a gimme for Manchester United. Man Utd have kept a clean sheet in their last 4 home matches while scoring at least 2 goals in their last 3 home matches (Premier League). 

It wouldn’t be unlike Bournemouth to end a dreadful run with a big upset but this is undoubtedly the lowest the club has fallen in terms of morale in Eddie Howe’s tenure, while their hosts are brimming with confidence. It’s hard to see Bournemouth getting something out of this.

Best Bet: Manchester United win to zero at 1.58

16:00 – Leicester City v Crystal Palace

Leicester have not won since the restart and are now in danger of losing their grip over a Champions League berth is loosening with every game. Second at the turn of the year, 14 points clear of fifth, that cushion is down to three and Brendan Rodgers’ men are rattled. Leicester have seen over 2.5 goals in their last 3 home matches against Palace in all competitions.

Palace are only playing for pride so there is no real impetus for them and that has shown with a heavy loss against Liverpool and tight loss against Burnley. That said, Leicesters have lost their last 2 meetings with the Eagles on home turf by 3 clear goals, so a return to winning ways is far from an inevitability.

Best Bet: Over 2.5 goals at 2.20

18:30 – Wolves vs Arsenal

A mouth-watering clash in the hunt for a European place, a Wolves victory would end Arsenal’s faint hopes of a Champions League spot and keep their own Champions League ambitions alive. Wolves have won 5 of their last 6 matches and kept a clean sheet in 7 of their last 8 matches.

There have been under 2.5 goals scored in Wolves’ last 4 games.

If Arsenal were to win they would move within 3 points of Wolves and could look to mount a challenge themselves, they are on a 3 match winning streak scoring at least 2 goals in each of them. The home side are tough to crack open so Arsenal will need to be sharp against a very intriguing team that pushing new boundaries. In the two sides previous 3 head to heads, both teams have scored in each of the 3.

Best Bet: BTTS at 1.83

21:00 – Chelsea v Watford

Having lost 3-2 to a struggling West Ham, Chelsea know dropping points at this stage could see them surrender their long-standing position in the top four. Chelsea have won their last 3 home matches (Premier League). Against Watford, Chelsea have seen over 2.5 goals in their last 9 home matches them,

The COVID-19 enforced break came at a bad time for Watford who were building up some momentum under Nigel Pearson. Watford lack creativity, they have failed to score in their last 3 away matches. and have lost those 3 matches.

Best Bet: Chelsea to win and under 3.5 goals at 2.10

13:00 – Burnley vs Sheffield Utd

With just two points separating the sides, a victory for either will be crucial to their hopes of a potential Europa League finish. Burnley have overcome adversity with so much turbulence occurring off the field. Burnley are undefeated in 9 of their last 10 matches (Premier League). More good news, Burnley have won their last 3 home matches against Sheff Utd in all competitions and have seen over 2.5 goals in their last 3 matches against them in all competitions.

Sheffield United’s performance have been a let down since restart so the win over Tottenham came as a surprise and could be the springboard to launch them back into pre-COVID-19 form. A draw or a very tight match seems like the most predictable result in this fixture.

Best Bet: Under 1.5 goals at 2.45

15:15 – Newcastle vs West Ham

Newcastle are undefeated in their last 5 home matches and are safe from relegation after picking up 11 points from the last 15 available both home and away

West Ham got a major boost in their bid for survival after a 3-2 win against Chelsea earlier in the week. West Ham have lost their last 7 away matches and have conceded at least 2 goals in 8 of their last 10 matches home and away.

Best Bet: Draw at 2.25

17:00 – Liverpool vs Aston Villa

A backlash from the champions will worry Aston Villa who are still in a relegation scrap. Liverpool were hammered 4-0 midweek with a full-strength side so expect a few changes from Jurgen Klopp. Expect a reaction from the Reds, who have seen over 2.5 goals in 10 of their last 12 home matches against Aston Villa and have scored at least 2 goals in their last 6 home matches.

The visitors have had plenty of time to prepare for this game but with just 8 games remaining still have no clear identity in their approach or formation, so there should be only one winner. Villa have also failed to win their last 8 matches.

Best Bet: Liverpool to win to zero at 2.10

22:00 – Southampton v Man City

Southampton start the weekend 13 points clear of the bottom three. As none of the bottom three able to win football matches, they should be safe. Southampton have seen over 2.5 goals in 6 of their last 7 matches against Man City in all competitions.

Manchester City thumped newly-crowned Premier League champions Liverpool 4-0 on Thursday and should now start ramping up their preparations for FA Cup and Champions League success. Both teams have scored in each of the last four encounters and we should expect another entertaining game on Sunday night.

Best Bet: Man City to win and over 2.5 goals at 1.80

22:00 – Tottenham vs Everton

Tottenham fell to a disappointing 3-1 defeat at Sheffield United on Thursday evening and it means they have won just 1 of their last 9 matches which has seen them drop to ninth in the table. The good news is, Spurs are undefeated in their last 14 matches against Everton in all competitions.

Everton moved to within a point of Spurs after a 2-1 win over Leicester midweek. They enjoyed back-to-back league wins for just the third time this season. They have failed to win in 9 visits to Tottenham, however.

Best Bet: Draw at 2.50

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