25 May 2020, by Carl Lewis

Bundesliga Matchday 28 Betting Preview and Tips

So many goals and takeouts from the restart weekend of the Bundesliga – there is a lot to digest with no fans, no celebrations and much more but we already have another matchday this week.

Below, we go through Matchday 28 of the Bundesliga to help you with your bet slips. If you would like a review of the season so far, read this.

Tuesday 26 May

 

18:30 – Borussia Dortmund (2.70) v Bayern Munich (1.83)

Borussia Dortmund are just four points away in the title race and meet their leaders in a match they can’t lose. Victory on Saturday made it 6 straight wins – 5 with a clean sheet, while 5 saw them register a half-time lead. They are league’s best home team (W10, D3, L0), Dortmund have scored 16 goals without reply and claimed 8 of their 10 league victories here by a multi-goal margin.

Bayern Munich are also on a 6-game winning and have been outscoring Dortmund over those 6 rounds (22:15), and winning 11 of their last 13 league games despite a ‘-1 handicap’. Bayern rate as the Bundesliga’s top away team (W9, D2, L2) scoring 2.85 goals on average per game. Fast out of the blocks, nearly a third of Bayern’s away league goals have arrived in the opening 15 minutes (12/37), with 6 of those arriving in the last 3 games.

 Bayern won the last head to head at home 4-0, while Dortmund have beaten Bayern at home in their 2 most recent meetings.

Best Bet: Bayern Munich win and over 2.5 goals at 2.15

— — —

20:30 – Eintracht Frankfurt (2.00) v Freiburg (3.50)

Eintracht Frankfurt have lost 5 successive matches, each of which saw them concede 2+ goals, for an average of 3.6 conceded per-match. Moreover, Frankfurt conceded the first-half opener in 4 of those games, conceding 2 first-half goals in each of their last three. Frankfurt’s home ground significant 76.92% of the stadium’s league matches this term have produced over 2.5 goals, with the venue averaging 3.62 total Bundesliga goals per-match.

SC Freiburg’s good start is unravelling, with a return of just 3 wins since the December/Winter break (W3, D2, L5). All losses during this period came without reply, and 10 of their last 11 Bundesliga points were earned after they had scored a first-half opener. Freiburg lost here, 3-1, on their last visit.

Best Bet: Eintracht Frankfurt win at 2.00

— — —

20:30 – Bayer Leverkusen (1.74) v Wolfsburg (4.40)

Unbeaten in 7 Bundesliga matches, Leverkusen have registered a second-half clean sheet in 4 of their last 5 league outings. The hosts’ home league record since the start of December is near-flawless (W5, L1), with an average 3 goals across the 5 wins. They opened the scoring on each winning occasion.

Wolfsburg have lost just once in league action since the start of February (W4, D3, L1). The visitors’ winning return to league action (May 16) was their fourth Bundesliga away match without defeat (W3, D1). 3 of those 4 matches saw Wolfsburg win the second half by a 2-1 scoreline, while each of the 3 wins saw their decisive goal arrive in the 60th minute or later.

Best Bet: Bayer Leverkusen win and over 2.5 goals at 2.20

— — —

20:30 – Werder Bremen (4.40) v Borussia Monchengladbach (1.80)

Werder Bremen managed their first win in 8 matches (W1, D1, L6) at the weekend. It was also their second clean sheet of the season. Furthermore, 10 of their 12 home league games this season have actually seen them concede 2+ goals. They are winless in 8 this season against sides currently inside top five (D2, L6). Each of the 3 home games saw them concede the game’s first goal, and also concede at least once after the 60th minute.

Winning 5 of their previous 9 (W5, D2, L2), the in-form Borussia Mönchengladbach are true entertainers. Each of their previous 9 matches saw both teams score, with eight also producing over 2.5 match goals. Additionally, each of their previous three away league matches saw them net 3+ goals. They also won the reverse fixture 3-1 earlier in the season.

Best Bet: BTTS and over 2.5 goals at 1.90

 

Wednesday 27 May

 

18:30: RB Leipzig (1.31) v Hertha Berlin (9.25)

Excluding goalless draws, RB Leipzig have now won the second half ‘to-nil’ in 5 of their last 6 league games. Meanwhile, 5 of Leipzig’s last six home victories have also seen them win the second half ‘to-nil’, with Leipzig averaging 2.33 goals beyond the break across their last three home league wins. Leipzig have lost just once (W10, D9), across their last 20 Bundesliga home matches. 

Hertha Berlin average 3.5 unanswered goals across their last 2 league games (W2 – GF 7, GA 0) – each one of them flew in during the second half. The visitors are unbeaten in 6 away league games (W4, D2), and those matches averaged exactly 2 total goals beyond the hour mark. Leipzig won the reverse fixture earlier in the season 4-2 and the last 4 Bundesliga meetings.

Best Bet: RB Leipzig win and over 2.5 goals at 1.64

— — —

20:30: Augsburg (1.90) v Paderborn (3.85)

Augsburg’s 3-0 snapped a winless run of 6 straight games in the top-flight (D1, L5). Significantly, each of those 5 defeats saw them concede the opening goal, whilst three witnessed a losing margin of 2+ goals. Though victorious in just 1 of their 5 home games this year (W1, D1, L3), Augsburg have scored in all but 1 of their 13 league home fixtures to date, all 5 of those games saw both teams score

Rock-bottom Paderborn want to make it 3 league games without a loss. They have lost all of the 13 top-flight fixtures in which they were behind at half-time this season. With the opener being scored within 30 minutes in eight of Paderborn’s 13 Bundesliga away matches, fans should expect a lively start here. However, Paderborn have conceded a Bundesliga joint-high of nine goals inside the first 30 minutes of away play this campaign.

Best Bet: Draw at 3.90

— — —

20:30 – Fortuna Dusseldorf (2.70) v Schalke (2.75)

Fortuna Düsseldorf’s poor defence (1.93 conceded per-match) conceded twice late on in their last match, as Düsseldorf gave up a 2-0 lead and slipped to a fifth consecutive draw in all competition. Of further concern is that Dusseldorf are yet to win at home in 2020 (D3, L2). If that wasn’t enough, Bundesliga home sides boast an awful 16.6% win-rate since returning to action recently, in comparison to 43.3% before. 

Schalke 04 are spiralling to new lows having scored just 1 goal across 657 minutes of play. Consequently, all 6 of Schalke’s 2020 defeats came without reply and five by a 3+ goal margin. What’s more, they have shipped as many goals beyond the 75th minute as they have in the whole first-half of league games this term (13). Without an away league win or goal in 2020 (D2, L3), 3 of which were against bottom-half opposition, Schalke were down 2-0 at half-time in all 3 losses. 

Best Bet: Over 2.5 goals at 2.00

 

 

SIGN UP TO OUR DAILY BETTING DIGEST

Get our morning email packed with the day's sporting action.

Beat the lack of sport and get our tips for our best picks of what's on.

MORE SOCCER

Premier League Stat Pack – Gameweek 35

| Premier League, Soccer | No Comments
The Premier League title is decided but with four matches to go there are so many other prizes up for grabs such as European spots and survival.
Premier League Stat Pack - Gameweek 33

Premier League Stat Pack – Gameweek 34

| Premier League, Soccer | No Comments
The Premier League title is decided but with five matches to go there are so many other achievements on offer for clubs such as European spots and survival.

Premier League Stat Pack – Gameweek 33

| Premier League, Soccer | No Comments
The Premier League title is officially decided but the stakes are still high for clubs because of the UCL and relegation, we preview key matches this week.

10 Reasons for Liverpool’s Success

| Premier League, Soccer | No Comments
10 Reasons for Liverpool's Success. We discuss 10 reasons why Liverpool have been so succesful over the past two seasons.