25 May 2020, by Carl Lewis

Der Klassiker Betting Preview

In these unprecedented times, the match between Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund, known as ‘Der Klassiker’ is the biggest and most important match in the world of football as it stands. In this piece, we provide team news and probable line ups as well as your best bets for the derby match.

Borussia Dortmund are just four points away from Bayern Munich in the title race and meet the leaders in a match they can’t lose. Victory on Saturday made it six straight wins – five with a clean sheet. They are league’s best home team (W10, D3, L0), Dortmund have scored 16 goals without reply and claimed eight of their 10 league victories here by a multi-goal margin.

Bayern Munich are also on a game-winning and have been outscoring Dortmund over those six rounds (22:15), and winning 11 of their last 13 league games despite. Bayern knows a win will all but seal an eighth straight Bundesliga title and it’s hard to see past the serial champions, despite BVB winning six in a row themselves.

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Dortmund Team news

Mats Hummels went off at the weekend with Achilles pain and is a doubt.

Axel Witsel and Nico Schulz have both missed out recently due to muscle injuries. Witsel could return to the squad against Bayern.

Emre Can could possibly start in midfield against his former employer.

Marco Reus could miss the rest of the season after failing to shake off a nagging muscle injury.

Dan-Axel Zagadou will miss the final seven games of the season with a knee injury too.

 Bayern Team News

Jérôme Boateng went off in the weekend win with a hip injury but is expected to be fit.

Thiago missed the weekend game with adductor problems and remains a doubt.

Philippe Coutinho and Corentin Tolisso have both had ankle operations and are ruled out. 

Teenage striker Jann-Fiete Arp has recovered from an arm injury, while Niklas Süle is back in light training again after suffering an ACL tear and remains hopeful of playing again this season.

Probable line-ups

Dortmund: Bürki – Piszczek (c), Hummels, Akanji – Hakimi, Can, Brandt, Guerreiro – Sancho, Haaland, Hazard

Bayern: Neuer (c) – Pavard, Boateng, Alaba, Davies – Kimmich, Goretzka – Gnabry, Müller, Coman – Lewandowski

Last five matches:

 

2019 – Bun: Bayern Munich 4-0 Borussia Dortmund

2019 – Cup: Borussia Dortmund 2-0 Bayern Munich

2019 – Bun: Bayern Munich 5-0 Borussia Dortmund

2018 – Bun: Borussia Dortmund 2-0 Bayern Munich

2018 – Bun: Bayern Munich 6-0 Borussia Dortmund

 

Betting tips and trends

 

Bayern have hit nine goals without reply across the previous two Bundesliga meetings between these sides (4-0 and 5-0).

Best Bet: Bayern Munich to win to nil at 4.20

Dortmund won the last time they met at the Signal Iduna Park in the league, winning 3-2. Dortmund have lost just one of the last four (W2, D1, L1) Klassiker matches on home soil. Dortmund also clinched the Supercup at their famous home back in August, meaning coach Lucien Favre has a 100 per cent record at home against Bayern with two wins from two.

Best Bet: Borussia Dortmund win at 3.70

Bayern Munich are also on a six-game winning streak and have been outscoring Dortmund over those 6 rounds (22:15), and winning 11 of their last 13 league games despite a ‘-1 handicap’. 

Best Bet: Bayern Munich (-1 handicap) at 2.90

Bayern rate as the Bundesliga’s top away team (W9, D2, L2) scoring 2.85 goals on average per game. 

Best Bet: Bayern Munich win and over 2.5 goals at 2.20

Borussia Dortmund have scored at least 2 goals in 28 of their last 30 home matches.

Best Bet: Bayern Munich over 1.5 goals at 1.47

 

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