10 January 2019, by: BET Contributor
Betting Preview: The Football Weekend
There are so many big fixtures over the course of the weeknd and luckily for you, we have picked out four BIG matches to help you with your punitng this weekend.
There are two mouth-watering clashes in Serie A, a blockbuster in the Premier League and then finally a Madrid Derby in Saudi Arabia. There is money to be made so we’ve tried you make your life a bit easier.
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Third-placed Lazio take on a struggling Napoli side this weekend who sit in eight paced on the Serie A log. Lazio have yet to lose in Rome this season. Napoli are not great travellers, accumulating 13 points out of a possible 27 this season on the road. Napoli manager Gennaro Gattuso’s has struggled since taking over from the sacked Carlo Ancelotti. Napoli have won just one match from their last six away league matches and are missing star defender Kalidou Koulibaly, his absence has been felt.
However, the visitors are unbeaten at this venue in their last eight visits so they can take some confidence from that.
Form (earlier -> latest)
Lazio: WWWWW
Napoli: LWLDL
An average of 34 minutes is what it usually takes Lazio to score their first goal while Napoli is 39 minutes. (Lazio to score first at 0.75)
In terms of defending, Lazio takes 28 minutes to concede a goal and Napoli, 34. (Napoli to score first at 1.25)
Lazio have scored in 16 of their 17 matches, scoring first in 10.
Napoli have scored in 15 of their 18 matches, scoring first in 8.
In their 10-match winning streak, seven of those nine games saw both teams score. (BTTS? Yes at 0.50)
Although in their home matches, both teams have scored in just 50% of Lazio’s home matches (BTTS? No at 1.50)
Lazio have scored at least 2 goals in their last 12 matches (Lazio to score 2 goals at 2.35)
14 of Lazio’s 17 Serie A matches have seen over 2.5 goals. In their eight home matches, six of those saw over 2.5 goals (Over 2.5 goals at 0.60)
Napoli have scored at least 2 goals in 8 of their last 9 matches against Lazio in all competitions. There have been over 2.5 goals scored in Napoli’s last 3 league matches (Napoli to score 2 goals at 2.70).
Considering the two sides penchant for scoring of late, a good value bet might be over 3.5 goals at 1.45.
Lazio are excellent in the second half, they were drawing at half time and winning at full time in 5 of their last 7 matches. To further drive home the point, Lazio conceded just 1 second-half goal at home this season (Draw/Lazio at 3.95).
Lazio have won HT and FT happened 4 out of 8 matches. Napoli have conceded before half-time in the last 5 away matches (Lazio/Lazio at 1.90).
It is hard to look past Lazio’s club record for 9-match consecutive league wins. They should continue this streak against Napoli. While Lazio have flourished, Napoli has only gone further downhill since Gennaro Gattuso replaced Carlo Ancelotti. They suffered a bad defeat at home to Inter last time out (3-1), and face another ‘hot’ team in Lazio (Lazio to win at 0.55).
Inter are bristling with confidence as it’s over three months since they last lost a top-flight match, which is why they sit pretty on top of the Serie A log.
Atalanta travels with just as much confidence after winning four of their last five SA games in very convincing fashion which included two consecutive 5-0 wins over Parma and AC Milan.
Inter: WDDWW
Atalanta WWLWW
An average of 27 minutes is what it usually takes Inter to score their first goal while Atalanta is 38 minutes (Inter to score first at 0.75)
In terms of defending, Inter takes 44 minutes to concede a goal and Atalanta, 40. (Atalanta to score first at 1.25)
Inter have scored in 17 out of their 18 league matches. Although they haven’t scored in the first 15 minutes this season, they rarely concede in the first half. (BTTS? Yes at 0.55)
Atalanta have scored in 16 of their 18 matches. They are Serie A’s most productive team with 48 goals this season. (BTTS? No at 1.40)
Atalanta can also take the positives out of being Serie A’s fact they’re second-highest away scorers, averaging 2.22 goals on the road. (Atalanta to score 1 goal at 1.45)
With Lukaku and Lautaro forming a superb striking partnership, Inter have seem over 2.5 goals scored in 11 of Inter’s last 13 games. (Over 2.5 goals at 0.65)
After two consective 5-0 wins, no surpsise Atalanta have seen over 2.5 goals in their last 6 games. (Atalanata to win and over 2.5 goals at 3.70)
Three of Inter’s last four competitive games featured over 1.5 first-half goals.
At home, Inter have been winning at HT and FT in 5 of their 9 matches at the San Siro. (Inter/Inter at 2.00)
Inter haven’t scored in the first 15 minutes this season, they rarely concede in the first half.
Atalanta’s last three league matches have each seen the eventual winner score the opener by the 15th minute and lead ‘to nil’ at HT. (Atalanta/Atalanta at 4.00)
Inter are flying high and their clash with free-scoring Atalanta has many neutrals tongues wagging. Inter head into the match as favourites with their 11-match unbeaten record. (Inter to win at 0.55)
Atalanta will go to the San Siro with confidence having pummeled AC Milan and Parma 5-0 recently. This exciting attacking unit will cause Inter defensive problems so expect goals in the tie. (Atalanta to win at 1.40)
Atalanta might been on fire upfront this season but have failed to score in four of their last six matches away to Inter and last won there in March 2014. The last match between the two sides in in April 2019 and ended with a 0-0 draw. (Draw at 2.60)
The highlight of the Premier League weekend, Spurs are an unbelievable 28 points behind Liverpool, but just six points behind a top-four spot so there is a lot to play for on Saturday. They’ve won four of their last five competitive home matches, and there’s been an average of 4.2 total goals per game during this period.
Overall, however, Tottenham have won just one of their last five competitive matches and Mourinho is under pressure to get them back on track after a great start. This box office fixture could be just what Spurs need.
Spurs: WLWDL
Liverpool: WWWWW
An average of 36 minutes is what it usually takes Liverpool to score their first goal while Spurs is 38minutes. (Liverpool to score first at 0.55)
In terms of defending, Liverpool takes 54 minutes to concede a goal and Spurs, 39. (Spurs to score first at 1.70)
Liverpool haven’t conceded a league goal in 5, and they’ve kept 8 clean sheets over their previous 10. However, both teams have scored in five straight league games between these two clubs. (BTTS? Yes at 0.65)
Liverpool have scored in every league fixture this season. (BTTS? No at 1.20)
Liverpool have scored at least 2 goals in 11 of their last 13 away matches in the league. (Over 2.5 goals at 0.65)
Spurs have conceded two goals in 5 straight matches against Liverpool and lost four in a row. (Liverpool to win and over 2,5 goals at 1.30)
Liverpool have been winning at both half time and full time in their last 7 matches. Incredibly, Liverpool have been ahead at HT in 75 % of their league matches – they’ve won in every match. (Liverpool/Liverpool at 1.35)
History suggests late goals in this fixture, just over half of the fixtures goals have come in the second-half with 4 of those in injury time.
José Mourinho has only beaten teams led by Jürgen Klopp twice in ten attempts (D4, L4) so Spurs springing upset, despite being at home seems highly unlikely. (Liverpool to win at 0.22)
Added to that Liverpool are unbeaten in 37 league matches, a run that stretches back to January 2019. Although, Mourinho could spring a surprise and make a statement with his Spurs team who have gone stale after a bright oepning to his tenure at the London club. (Spurs to win or Draw at 1.10)
Atletico Madrid stunned Barcelona to set up a derby encounter with Real Madrid for the 2020 Spanish Super Cup after beating the Catlans 3-2 on Thursday.
Real had already reached the final following Wednesday’s 3-1 win over Valencia. The two sides will face off at the King Abdullah Sports City in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia, on Sunday evening.
Real Madrid: DDDWW
Atletico Madrid: WWWWW
An average of 38 minutes is what it usually takes Real Madrid to score their first goal while Atletico is 45 minutes. (Real to score first at 0.80)
In terms of defending, Real Madrid takes 51 minutes to concede a goal and Atletico, 55. (Atletico to score first at 1.25)
In the league, Madrid are deadly in the last 30 minutes of the second half scoring 24 of their 50 season goals in that period. (Second half over 1.5 goals total at 1.25)
Real Madrid have scored in 14 of their 19 league games this season while Atletico have scored in 13.(BTTS? Yes at 0.50)
Madrid have scored 36 league goals, the second highest in La Liga while their opponents have only banged in 22 in their 19 matches. (BTTS? No at 1.50)
Real Madrid have kept a clean sheet 10 times comapred to Atletico’s 9 – the Madrid clubs have the best defensive record in La Liga conceding just 12 goals each. (Correct score 0-0 at 14.25)
Surprisingly, Real Madrid only 9 of their 19 matches have seen over 2.5 goals. That’s more than double of their opponents who have seen only 4 matches over 3,5 goals – that is the lowest in the Spanish league. (Over 2.5 goals at 0.60)
There is an average of 2,5 goals in Real Madrid matches while the average is significantly lower in Atletico’s matches, 1.8 goals per match. (Under 2.5 goals at 1.40)
Real Madrid have been winning at HT and FT in 8 of their 19 matches this season. (Real Madrid/Real Madrid at 2.35)
Atletico have drawn at HT and FT 6 out of 19 times. (Draw/Draw at 3.65)
In their last four head to head league matches, there have been 3 draws. Both teams have outstanding defences, Madrid also have a much better attack with the talented Atletico struggling to fire in front of goal this season. (Draw after 90 minutes at 2.25)
Unfortunately for Madrid, it seems Garteh Bale and Karim Benzema might be out of action so a lot of emphasis with fall on a young Madrid attack to unlock a tight Atletico defence (Real Madrid to win at 1.20)
Despite struggling to score, Atletico are still on a 3-match wining streak in the league and showed a serios amount of grit and character to overcome Barcelona (Atletico to win 2.20).
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